France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196

1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103

Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monaco
Clermont Foot		53.7%
22.1%		24.2%
-113
+355
-125
+340
2
0		-0.65072-0.63951-0.62122
Lille
Rennes		27.7%
45.5%		26.8%
+221
+148
+210
+135
3
1		-1.17944-1.18127-1.28320
Lyon
Troyes		53.6%
22.4%		24.0%
-156
+440
-160
+415
3
1		-0.51691-0.53479-0.62325
Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain		3.2%
88.7%		8.0%

+575
-250
1
2		-0.38632-0.11972
Strasbourg
Rennes		15.5%
63.5%		21.0%
+604
-175
+530
-180
0
3		-0.46837-0.49213-0.45456
Nice
Lens		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+457
-125
+440
-135
1
0		-1.73721-1.73472-1.74749
Brest
Lyon		11.1%
72.6%		16.3%
+524
-185
+500
-190
0
0		-1.55249-1.54721-1.81511
Paris Saint-Germain
Montpellier		81.2%
6.5%		12.3%

-330
+750
3
1		-0.31516-0.20806
Auxerre
Monaco		8.6%
76.8%		14.5%
+792
-257
+750
-290
2
3		-0.35125-0.34670-0.26343
Troyes
Toulouse		26.5%
47.0%		26.5%
+412
-144
+385
-150
1
4		-0.54523-0.55970-0.75470
Lorient
Reims		30.1%
41.9%		28.0%
+375
-121
+350
-125
2
4		-0.61869-0.63824-0.87046
Clermont Foot
Lille		10.0%
72.6%		17.4%
+590
-174
+550
-185
0
0		-1.45299-1.44740-1.74772
Marseille
Nantes		47.2%
26.5%		26.3%
-129
+420
-140
+390
2
0		-0.58917-0.58834-0.74982
Ajaccio
Angers		27.1%
44.1%		28.8%
+253
+139
+240
+130
2
1		-1.27830-1.27397-1.30398
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain		3.7%
86.7%		9.6%
+1009
-383
+1000
-420
1
1		-1.90805-1.92292-2.34487
Lyon
Ajaccio		57.8%
18.4%		23.8%
-117
+390
-120
+360
2
0		-0.63480-0.65356-0.54771
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.