France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196

1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103

Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Angers
Brest		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+270
+123
+255
+110
0
4		-0.82082-0.79264-0.49328
Toulouse
Strasbourg		20.7%
55.6%		23.7%
+215
+148
+195
+145
2
1		-1.15379-1.12646-1.57595
Nantes
Clermont Foot		29.4%
42.8%		27.8%
+218
+158
+215
+145
0
0		-1.17545-1.17847-1.28075
Montpellier
Auxerre		28.2%
46.5%		25.3%
+224
+142
+195
+140
2
0		-1.19313-1.13038-1.26709
Lille
Nice		34.6%
36.9%		28.5%
+150
+220
+135
+215
0
1		-1.17857-1.19683-0.99737
Monaco
Marseille		27.6%
46.6%		25.8%
+275
+103
+275
+100
1
1		-1.35720-1.31420-1.35569
Lens
Troyes		51.1%
23.7%		25.2%
-167
+521
-170
+500
1
1		-1.46850-1.42205-1.37821
Rennes
Lorient		38.8%
33.4%		27.8%
+105
+322
-105
+295
1
2		-1.46024-1.42354-1.09712
Paris Saint-Germain
Rennes		54.3%
21.7%		24.0%
-153
+430
-170
+430
0
1		-1.69816-1.71730-1.52896
Ajaccio
Monaco		8.7%
74.6%		16.7%
+835
-240
+700
-250
1
7		-0.37183-0.38509-0.29335
Brest
Toulouse		32.2%
41.0%		26.8%
+330
-112
+325
-120
1
1		-1.36649-1.35810-1.31669
Nice
Reims		35.0%
35.5%		29.6%
+213
+156
+195
+150
0
0		-1.20274-1.21335-1.21831
Nantes
Montpellier		29.7%
44.1%		26.3%
+217
+147
+195
+140
3
0		-1.16806-1.13457-1.21567
Clermont Foot
Angers		29.9%
42.5%		27.6%
+229
+141
+215
+130
2
1		-1.20728-1.19690-1.20791
Troyes
Lille		11.2%
70.2%		18.6%
+660
-205
+620
-225
1
5		-0.41819-0.41977-0.35382
Strasbourg
Lyon		12.3%
69.8%		17.9%
+463
-159
+450
-165
2
1		-1.74177-1.75198-2.09200
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.