France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marseille
Monaco		24.1%
51.3%		24.6%
+209
+140
+195
+135
3
2		-1.14608-1.13082-1.42441
Lorient
Strasbourg		23.7%
51.3%		25.0%
+216
+139
+205
+135
1
1		-1.27107-1.25956-1.38525
Reims
Montpellier		26.0%
47.9%		26.1%
+161
+193
+160
+170
1
1		-1.23162-1.26107-1.34320
Troyes
Brest		21.4%
54.7%		23.9%
+272
+110
+255
+105
1
2		-0.75854-0.76776-0.60349
Angers
Lille		9.5%
74.1%		16.4%
+1031
-325
+900
-330
0
1		-0.28598-0.31437-0.29944
Ajaccio
Nantes		15.6%
60.9%		23.5%
+290
+119
+290
+105
2
2		-1.19488-1.22926-1.44800
Auxerre
Paris Saint-Germain		2.8%
90.1%		7.1%
+1800
-687
+1600
-740
0
5		-0.15675-0.17638-0.10388
Toulouse
Rennes		14.4%
65.7%		19.9%
+460
-160
+470
-180
1
2		-0.51011-0.49143-0.41933
Clermont Foot
Lens		12.3%
69.2%		18.6%
+693
-206
+650
-225
1
2		-0.41461-0.41685-0.36844
Nice
Lyon		14.6%
66.0%		19.4%
+398
-128
+370
-140
1
1		-1.36979-1.41215-1.64010
Lyon
Marseille		30.9%
42.6%		26.5%
+264
+112
+260
+105
0
1		-0.77457-0.76787-0.85259
Rennes
Lille		23.2%
51.6%		25.2%
+283
+110
+260
+105
1
1		-1.28576-1.30280-1.37924
Montpellier
Clermont Foot		31.2%
41.7%		27.1%
+192
+155
+195
+140
1
1		-1.27289-1.26167-1.30479
Brest
Nice		22.6%
53.6%		23.8%
+357
-115
+340
-125
0
1		-0.64798-0.63951-0.62429
Monaco
Toulouse		48.0%
26.8%		25.1%
+122
+225
+110
+220
2
0		-0.81656-0.79248-0.73332
Nantes
Reims		29.3%
42.5%		28.2%
+253
+120
+240
+115
0
1		-0.80937-0.81744-0.85609
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.