France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Lorient		73.8%
9.9%		16.2%
-280
+800
-300
+765
2
1		-0.32881-0.33724-0.30326
Lens
Angers		48.1%
26.6%		25.4%
-152
+484
-160
+435
2
1		-0.52845-0.53649-0.73243
Strasbourg
Ajaccio		38.1%
31.5%		30.4%
+162
+215
+160
+200
2
4		-1.16890-1.14863-1.15493
Auxerre
Troyes		18.7%
58.4%		22.9%
+263
+112
+295
-105
1
1		-1.31565-1.30258-1.47464
Lille
Lyon		23.3%
52.6%		24.1%
+280
+100
+255
+100
0
1		-0.71578-0.74036-0.64323
Nice
Lorient		32.5%
39.9%		27.5%
+185
+175
+175
+160
2
1		-1.06025-1.06161-1.12301
Montpellier
Rennes		14.3%
66.4%		19.3%
+725
-265
+700
-290
0
3		-0.35209-0.34545-0.40881
Angers
Monaco		8.9%
76.2%		14.9%
+643
-218
+575
-220
0
2		-0.38992-0.42198-0.27240
Clermont Foot
Nantes		18.9%
57.5%		23.6%
+295
-101
+275
-105
1
1		-1.32791-1.34623-1.44388
Reims
Brest		23.4%
51.4%		25.2%
+164
+177
+160
+170
0
0		-1.26759-1.27172-1.37753
Ajaccio
Auxerre		27.1%
44.3%		28.5%
+188
+172
+190
+165
0
1		-1.03243-1.02340-0.81380
Marseille
Strasbourg		40.1%
32.0%		27.9%
+130
+260
+115
+245
2
2		-1.25713-1.27168-1.27608
Troyes
Paris Saint-Germain		3.8%
86.6%		9.5%
+2547
-1019
+2750
-1300
3
4		-0.11585-0.12349-0.14355
Toulouse
Lens		15.3%
64.6%		20.1%
+430
-135
+450
-180
0
3		-0.54946-0.49497-0.43691
Monaco
Lille		29.7%
43.7%		26.6%
+170
+160
+180
+145
3
4		-0.98773-0.94585-0.76110
Nantes
Nice		22.9%
52.2%		24.9%
+285
+110
+295
+100
1
1		-1.24282-1.25931-1.39159
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.