France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Auxerre
Reims		16.9%
60.6%		22.5%
+330
-110
+320
-115
1
2		-0.67725-0.67523-0.50163
Strasbourg
Toulouse		31.7%
40.8%		27.5%
+226
+125
+210
+125
2
2		-1.30948-1.30416-1.28968
Brest
Clermont Foot		34.0%
38.1%		27.9%
+262
+115
+240
+115
3
1		-1.31722-1.27576-1.08010
Rennes
Angers		46.4%
27.3%		26.3%
-164
+475
-155
+410
2
1		-0.50286-0.55036-0.70457
Lens
Marseille		23.2%
52.4%		24.4%
+245
+122
+225
+120
1
0		-1.26808-1.22946-1.46279
Lyon
Montpellier		48.4%
27.2%		24.4%
+105
+275
-110
+270
2
1		-0.73877-0.69589-0.72526
Paris Saint-Germain
Ajaccio		78.8%
6.5%		14.7%
-345
+1065
-385
+1100
3
0		-0.28439-0.28071-0.23885
Marseille
Paris Saint-Germain		8.5%
76.3%		15.2%
+650
-235
+625
-245
0
1		-0.38535-0.39116-0.27059
Clermont Foot
Monaco		9.4%
74.6%		16.0%
+775
-280
+700
-275
1
1		-1.72963-1.69805-1.83027
Nice
Auxerre		49.4%
25.3%		25.3%
+111
+266
+110
+265
1
1		-1.28511-1.27762-1.37318
Brest
Nantes		35.4%
37.0%		27.6%
+245
+125
+240
+120
1
4		-0.83480-0.83455-0.99401
Lyon
Rennes		35.4%
37.4%		27.2%
+238
+118
+225
+110
2
3		-0.79691-0.79467-0.98347
Angers
Toulouse		20.9%
55.6%		23.5%
+320
-115
+290
-115
2
3		-0.65341-0.67231-0.58677
Montpellier
Lens		12.9%
69.1%		18.0%
+585
-205
+550
-210
0
1		-0.42555-0.44158-0.36947
Reims
Lorient		23.2%
51.0%		25.7%
+212
+142
+215
+135
0
0		-1.25124-1.23891-1.35810
Lille
Strasbourg		47.4%
26.1%		26.4%
+130
+230
+125
+220
3
0		-0.85856-0.86074-0.74566
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.