France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Paris Saint-Germain		5.5%
82.8%		11.7%
+1341
-441
+1050
-450
1
2		-0.22570-0.24953-0.18848
Rennes
Strasbourg		35.2%
36.5%		28.3%
+120
+236
+115
+230
3
1		-0.82175-0.81792-1.04535
Marseille
Angers		51.9%
23.3%		24.8%
-125
+350
-135
+350
3
0		-0.62140-0.60605-0.65678
Paris Saint-Germain
Lyon		47.8%
26.8%		25.4%
-187
+450
-195
+425
1
0		-0.45196-0.46420-0.73827
Lens
Nantes		26.6%
47.5%		26.0%
+103
+282
+105
+260
0
0		-1.32471-1.30280-1.34857
Rennes
Marseille		29.5%
42.9%		27.5%
+273
+108
+260
+105
1
1		-1.30722-1.30280-1.29066
Angers
Nice		15.8%
63.2%		21.0%
+420
-144
+430
-155
1
0		-1.68002-1.71925-1.84617
Ajaccio
Brest		15.4%
61.8%		22.8%
+288
+115
+285
+110
1
0		-1.38778-1.40007-1.87015
Monaco
Reims		45.7%
27.2%		27.1%
+120
+230
+120
+215
3
0		-0.81950-0.84077-0.78266
Toulouse
Lille		11.4%
70.4%		18.1%
+370
-133
+360
-140
1
2		-0.59014-0.58848-0.35047
Strasbourg
Montpellier		30.4%
43.1%		26.4%
+190
+156
+165
+165
1
2		-0.96501-1.02223-0.84060
Lorient
Auxerre		29.4%
43.7%		27.0%
+165
+178
+155
+175
3
1		-1.00114-0.98481-1.22526
Lyon
Monaco		24.5%
51.7%		23.8%
+170
+161
+165
+155
1
2		-0.98867-0.98602-0.65929
Auxerre
Rennes		7.1%
79.2%		13.6%
+725
-238
+650
-245
0
5		-0.37581-0.39279-0.23299
Reims
Toulouse		30.0%
41.4%		28.6%
+195
+145
+200
+135
0
1		-0.92606-0.90604-0.88257
Nice
Ajaccio		48.8%
23.5%		27.6%
+141
+235
+135
+230
1
0		-0.91909-0.90429-0.71697
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.