France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nantes
Lorient		36.7%
34.4%		28.8%
+217
+148
+220
+135
2
3		-0.93614-0.90372-1.06566
Montpellier
Angers		34.3%
38.1%		27.6%
+190
+150
+180
+140
1
2		-0.93864-0.92576-0.96493
Clermont Foot
Strasbourg		15.2%
63.6%		21.3%
+435
-137
+455
-155
0
0		-1.34696-1.38494-1.54778
Lille
Marseille		32.1%
39.2%		28.7%
+250
+117
+240
+115
1
2		-0.79875-0.81340-0.93611
Brest
Paris Saint-Germain		4.8%
84.6%		10.6%
+2700
-1056
+2500
-1400
0
1		-0.11865-0.11800-0.16774
Troyes
Lens		18.6%
58.4%		23.0%
+525
-190
+520
-210
0
1		-0.44608-0.44183-0.53756
Lyon
Lorient		56.6%
20.4%		23.0%
-130
+343
-145
+350
1
3		-1.52152-1.55495-1.58831
Monaco
Nice		40.9%
32.3%		26.8%
+150
+193
+150
+185
1
0		-0.94294-0.96451-0.89460
Rennes
Troyes		53.0%
21.7%		25.3%
-110
+315
-115
+300
1
1		-1.38194-1.37200-1.37452
Lens
Reims		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+134
+219
+125
+215
1
1		-1.28309-1.28884-1.29302
Toulouse
Clermont Foot		30.9%
41.2%		27.9%
+125
+245
+125
+220
0
2		-1.26386-1.21295-0.88622
Strasbourg
Brest		34.4%
38.0%		27.6%
+192
+160
+180
+150
1
1		-1.23001-1.27379-1.28576
Lille
Montpellier		42.7%
30.2%		27.1%
+100
+275
+100
+270
3
1		-0.72732-0.74381-0.85048
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes		65.0%
14.4%		20.6%
-400
+1049
-425
+1000
3
0		-0.25260-0.26196-0.43031
Angers
Lyon		9.3%
75.1%		15.5%
+804
-310
+800
-335
0
5		-0.31109-0.31069-0.28591
Marseille
Auxerre		51.3%
23.7%		25.0%
-117
+330
-120
+335
2
0		-0.65202-0.65074-0.66697
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.