France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Clermont Foot
Marseille		12.2%
68.2%		19.5%
+840
-260
+775
-290
0
1		-0.33257-0.34349-0.38268
Nice
Lille		17.1%
60.5%		22.4%
+285
+106
+290
+100
2
1		-1.37848-1.41026-1.76709
Brest
Rennes		10.8%
72.0%		17.1%
+565
-180
+550
-200
1
3		-0.45963-0.45463-0.32793
Lorient
Lens		16.8%
61.9%		21.3%
+430
-130
+420
-140
2
5		-0.58343-0.58390-0.47965
Paris Saint-Germain
Toulouse		71.1%
11.2%		17.6%
-376
+950
-425
+900
3
0		-0.26169-0.26046-0.34062
Ajaccio
Montpellier		12.9%
66.3%		20.7%
+256
+126
+260
+120
0
2		-0.85538-0.83229-0.41026
Troyes
Monaco		8.7%
75.8%		15.5%
+845
-290
+850
-325
4
2		-2.26702-2.30179-2.43932
Nantes
Strasbourg		23.2%
51.6%		25.2%
+265
+115
+280
+100
1
1		-1.28544-1.30048-1.38003
Reims
Angers		33.2%
37.1%		29.7%
+141
+220
+135
+220
4
2		-0.90180-0.90372-1.10262
Auxerre
Lyon		7.3%
79.5%		13.2%
+859
-330
+875
-375
1
2		-0.28994-0.28711-0.22901
Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain		13.0%
68.4%		18.6%
+1016
-417
+1050
-500
1
1		-2.04400-2.09581-1.68110
Lyon
Reims		43.1%
29.1%		27.8%
-121
+317
-125
+315
1
1		-1.44172-1.41256-1.28175
Montpellier
Brest		30.5%
43.4%		26.1%
+306
-104
+290
-110
7
0		-1.42862-1.41022-1.18892
Marseille
Nice		30.4%
42.1%		27.6%
+155
+185
+145
+185
3
0		-0.96603-0.94788-1.19204
Angers
Troyes		25.6%
47.7%		26.7%
+232
+136
+220
+130
1
3		-0.88269-0.88201-0.74066
Toulouse
Nantes		21.4%
54.5%		24.1%
+204
+142
+205
+140
1
3		-0.91529-0.92637-0.60664
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.