France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Auxerre
Saint-Etienne		22.8%
52.6%		24.6%
+270
+118
+255
+120
5
4		-1.32212-1.30111-1.47701
Saint-Etienne
Auxerre		29.8%
43.2%		26.9%
+225
+145
+215
+135
1
1		-1.20191-1.21716-1.31301
Nice
Reims		30.2%
40.8%		28.9%
-104
+305
-115
+300
3
2		-0.69207-0.67598-1.19604
Metz
Paris Saint-Germain		3.7%
86.9%		9.4%
+1771
-740
+1400
-750
0
5		-0.15207-0.17302-0.14045
Saint-Etienne
Nantes		17.4%
60.1%		22.5%
+186
+151
+190
+140
1
1		-1.32249-1.28844-1.49361
Strasbourg
Marseille		21.7%
53.7%		24.5%
+270
+124
+255
+125
0
4		-0.82602-0.82271-0.62092
Rennes
Lille		27.4%
45.4%		27.2%
+104
+267
+100
+280
2
2		-1.37219-1.34124-1.30258
Monaco
Lens		45.5%
28.9%		25.6%
+115
+234
+110
+220
2
2		-1.38553-1.38557-1.36391
Lyon
Clermont Foot		55.4%
20.8%		23.8%
-105
+270
-110
+275
2
1		-0.68884-0.68631-0.59072
Bordeaux
Brest		20.9%
56.4%		22.7%
+371
-150
+425
-170
4
2		-1.57624-1.68837-1.56705
Montpellier
Angers		34.3%
38.1%		27.6%
+260
+110
+250
+105
0
2		-0.76237-0.76070-0.96493
Lens
Troyes		34.7%
36.8%		28.6%
+105
+290
+100
+260
3
1		-0.73222-0.74360-1.05956
Clermont Foot
Strasbourg		15.2%
63.6%		21.3%
+676
-228
+570
-220
0
1		-0.39136-0.42520-0.45326
Reims
Saint-Etienne		34.6%
35.2%		30.2%
+295
+105
+290
-105
2
1		-1.39155-1.41005-1.06270
Marseille
Rennes		19.3%
57.2%		23.5%
+305
-104
+285
+105
0
2		-0.69341-0.73195-0.55870
Lille
Nice		36.8%
34.5%		28.8%
+395
-140
+350
-145
3
1		-1.61712-1.55495-1.00060
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.