France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Montpellier		66.9%
13.8%		19.3%
-330
+799
-350
+750
4
0		-0.29223-0.30286-0.40215
Brest
Monaco		10.1%
74.1%		15.8%
+1250
-440
+1025
-425
2
4		-0.22853-0.26113-0.29946
Angers
Metz		29.5%
42.8%		27.7%
+210
+136
+220
+125
0
1		-0.88627-0.86074-0.84947
Nantes
Lyon		14.0%
66.4%		19.5%
+515
-195
+515
-225
2
3		-0.42977-0.41746-0.40928
Rennes
Nantes		43.0%
29.4%		27.6%
-173
+500
-190
+455
1
2		-1.80042-1.76521-1.22455
Saint-Etienne
Nice		14.8%
64.8%		20.4%
+600
-189
+550
-200
2
4		-0.44307-0.45463-0.43323
Troyes
Paris Saint-Germain		4.3%
84.9%		10.7%
+1574
-575
+1600
-700
2
2		-2.19149-2.19024-2.23036
Marseille
Lorient		46.8%
26.6%		26.6%
+106
+289
+100
+270
3
0		-0.73904-0.73643-0.75903
Lens
Reims		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+129
+247
+115
+240
2
1		-0.84316-0.81744-1.30155
Montpellier
Clermont Foot		35.4%
36.0%		28.6%
+450
-150
+390
-160
1
2		-0.53055-0.53623-1.02287
Bordeaux
Angers		24.4%
51.0%		24.6%
+202
+151
+200
+135
1
4		-0.93461-0.90604-0.67295
Lyon
Metz		58.3%
19.0%		22.7%
-297
+800
-265
+650
2
3		-2.21632-2.06357-1.65858
Strasbourg
Brest		34.4%
38.0%		27.6%
-102
+295
+100
+325
1
0		-0.70846-0.69511-1.06749
Monaco
Lille		28.9%
44.5%		26.6%
+106
+272
-105
+275
2
1		-0.74410-0.71701-1.24098
Lyon
Marseille		33.3%
39.2%		27.5%
+207
+143
+195
+135
3
0		-1.13659-1.13082-1.10000
Nice
Bordeaux		42.3%
31.1%		26.5%
+126
+235
+120
+260
1
0		-0.83395-0.81040-0.86045
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.