France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Metz
Montpellier		16.5%
62.1%		21.4%
+364
-122
+350
-130
2
2		-1.40125-1.37444-1.54113
Angers
Monaco		8.5%
76.9%		14.7%
+850
-300
+825
-285
0
2		-0.32410-0.35187-0.26316
Reims
Lorient		34.9%
34.7%		30.3%
+274
+122
+250
+120
2
1		-1.33972-1.30420-1.05185
Clermont Foot
Brest		21.3%
54.4%		24.3%
+173
+190
+160
+175
0
2		-1.07966-1.06161-0.60866
Lille
Troyes		50.8%
22.8%		26.4%
+128
+251
+115
+265
0
3		-1.27565-1.34504-1.47788
Saint-Etienne
Rennes		8.5%
76.0%		15.4%
+891
-303
+860
-350
0
2		-0.31008-0.30425-0.27386
Nantes
Lens		25.9%
48.3%		25.8%
+450
-149
+440
-165
2
2		-1.44958-1.46145-1.35321
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg		61.9%
16.5%		21.6%
+108
+260
-110
+280
3
3		-1.35452-1.38390-1.53470
Marseille
Reims		34.2%
35.5%		30.2%
-102
+338
-105
+310
1
0		-0.70209-0.71803-1.07192
Strasbourg
Lille		16.7%
61.2%		22.1%
+182
+185
+180
+170
0
1		-1.06804-1.04214-0.49119
Brest
Metz		33.6%
38.3%		28.1%
+189
+169
+155
+185
1
0		-1.08093-0.98556-1.08993
Angers
Clermont Foot		27.4%
45.3%		27.3%
+285
+118
+235
+125
2
2		-1.22581-1.22806-1.29810
Troyes
Nice		16.1%
61.8%		22.1%
+650
-200
+510
-175
0
1		-0.42364-0.50407-0.48196
Bordeaux
Nantes		17.0%
61.6%		21.5%
+257
+115
+280
-110
3
5		-0.78301-0.69888-0.48500
Lorient
Rennes		8.3%
76.4%		15.3%
+800
-275
+765
-290
0
5		-0.34448-0.34825-0.26961
Lens
Paris Saint-Germain		6.0%
81.9%		12.1%
+1007
-394
+1000
-425
1
1		-1.98239-1.95701-2.10833
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.