France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monaco
Saint-Etienne		58.7%
19.0%		22.3%
-133
+375
-145
+375
4
1		-0.58505-0.57263-0.53285
Montpellier
Lyon		13.4%
68.4%		18.2%
+655
-247
+725
-300
2
5		-0.36377-0.33626-0.38040
Rennes
Strasbourg		39.4%
32.8%		27.8%
+189
+163
+180
+150
1
2		-0.98631-0.96627-1.11492
Nantes
Marseille		19.1%
57.2%		23.7%
+510
-175
+490
-175
2
3		-0.48695-0.49774-0.55781
Montpellier
Lens		25.2%
50.2%		24.6%
+723
-200
+600
-170
0
2		-0.41580-0.46238-0.68967
Lyon
Brest		49.6%
25.9%		24.6%
-129
+355
-130
+325
1
2		-1.52749-1.49620-1.35282
Paris Saint-Germain
Angers		73.9%
9.6%		16.5%
-194
+575
-220
+550
3
0		-0.42774-0.42528-0.30297
Lille
Reims		41.3%
29.2%		29.5%
+175
+202
+165
+225
1
2		-1.11841-1.19686-1.22943
Nice
Monaco		15.1%
65.2%		19.8%
+383
-120
+375
-130
0
1		-0.62166-0.61906-0.42848
Saint-Etienne
Bordeaux		26.9%
47.7%		25.4%
+210
+141
+200
+140
2
2		-1.28392-1.25632-1.37003
Marseille
Paris Saint-Germain		8.6%
75.6%		15.7%
+634
-236
+575
-250
1
2		-0.37680-0.38632-0.27954
Bordeaux
Lyon		8.4%
77.6%		14.0%
+726
-249
+675
-265
1
6		-0.35715-0.37004-0.25313
Strasbourg
Troyes		37.6%
33.6%		28.8%
+111
+325
+105
+285
1
1		-1.20608-1.24327-1.24469
Angers
Nantes		18.5%
58.4%		23.0%
+321
+105
+310
+100
1
1		-1.24303-1.22895-1.46785
Reims
Montpellier		25.9%
47.2%		26.9%
+235
+139
+235
+130
0
0		-1.21369-1.19690-1.31349
Lorient
Nice		14.5%
65.1%		20.4%
+485
-155
+400
-140
1
2		-0.51683-0.58780-0.42872
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.