France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lens
Lille		14.7%
64.8%		20.5%
+347
-106
+290
-105
2
1		-1.51951-1.41005-1.91528
Brest
Saint-Etienne		31.7%
41.2%		27.1%
+262
+125
+260
+110
1
2		-0.83170-0.79308-0.88644
Monaco
Rennes		27.6%
46.6%		25.8%
+255
+111
+240
+105
3
2		-1.28692-1.27465-1.28641
Montpellier
Marseille		18.4%
59.3%		22.2%
+621
-205
+580
-220
0
2		-0.41502-0.42534-0.52204
Lyon
Strasbourg		38.9%
33.9%		27.1%
+202
+155
+195
+145
1
1		-1.23474-1.24289-1.30494
Nice
Lens		29.6%
43.9%		26.5%
+218
+151
+195
+150
0
3		-0.93161-0.96192-0.82396
Troyes
Monaco		8.7%
75.8%		15.5%
+850
-266
+775
-280
1
2		-0.34034-0.35718-0.27753
Lille
Angers		52.3%
22.5%		25.2%
+115
+301
+115
+295
1
1		-1.20915-1.17144-1.37868
Nantes
Brest		31.0%
41.7%		27.3%
+185
+176
+175
+170
1
1		-1.20361-1.19759-1.29729
Paris Saint-Germain
Clermont Foot		74.3%
9.1%		16.6%
-360
+1050
-400
+950
6
1		-0.26897-0.27106-0.29768
Rennes
Reims		43.4%
28.1%		28.5%
-119
+400
-130
+400
3
2		-0.63013-0.62021-0.83582
Saint-Etienne
Lorient		26.6%
47.1%		26.3%
+297
+118
+280
+115
2
6		-0.80026-0.81507-0.75281
Lorient
Paris Saint-Germain		3.9%
86.5%		9.6%
+1600
-560
+1600
-650
1
5		-0.19018-0.19236-0.14452
Marseille
Saint-Etienne		46.3%
27.0%		26.7%
+125
+265
+110
+265
4
2		-0.83669-0.79376-0.77109
Angers
Lyon		9.3%
75.1%		15.5%
+797
-253
+700
-255
2
3		-0.35706-0.37917-0.28591
Reims
Troyes		32.3%
37.0%		30.7%
+225
+161
+215
+150
0
1		-0.97894-0.96582-0.99468
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.