France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brest
Montpellier		22.6%
53.9%		23.5%
+274
+113
+255
+110
2
1		-1.33747-1.31763-1.48576
Monaco
Metz		60.8%
17.4%		21.8%
-197
+700
-200
+600
2
1		-0.43064-0.45751-0.49768
Nantes
Clermont Foot		35.9%
34.6%		29.5%
+199
+167
+195
+160
3
2		-1.12138-1.13199-1.02441
Lens
Strasbourg		23.6%
52.0%		24.4%
+282
+115
+240
+120
0
1		-0.78711-0.83884-0.65423
Bordeaux
Lille		8.8%
75.9%		15.3%
+680
-202
+725
-235
0
0		-1.52321-1.59919-1.87458
Rennes
Nice		38.7%
33.3%		28.0%
+155
+200
+150
+190
1
1		-1.22421-1.24067-1.27286
Nice
Marseille		22.5%
53.4%		24.0%
+335
-107
+315
-110
1
2		-0.68798-0.69587-0.62650
Lyon
Reims		50.1%
24.4%		25.5%
-113
+335
-120
+335
0
0		-1.35829-1.33268-1.36528
Metz
Rennes		16.8%
60.1%		23.1%
+1240
-356
+1100
-360
1
6		-0.27349-0.29336-0.50896
Strasbourg
Lorient		34.2%
37.9%		27.9%
+125
+260
+120
+240
0
0		-1.21029-1.24434-1.27737
Montpellier
Bordeaux		35.8%
36.3%		27.9%
+195
+155
+185
+140
2
0		-1.09853-1.09919-1.02731
Brest
Angers		22.2%
54.2%		23.6%
+245
+145
+245
+130
0
1		-0.91649-0.88409-0.61325
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco		54.4%
22.4%		23.1%
+100
+285
-110
+285
0
3		-1.36735-1.39707-1.49446
Lille
Nantes		56.4%
19.6%		24.0%
+200
+170
+195
+175
1
0		-1.12458-1.12258-0.57268
Clermont Foot
Lens		18.8%
57.2%		24.0%
+400
-130
+390
-135
1
3		-0.60055-0.60197-0.55930
Troyes
Saint-Etienne		28.0%
44.2%		27.8%
+375
-110
+360
-120
1
1		-1.26227-1.30015-1.28060
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.