France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marseille
Brest		52.1%
23.5%		24.5%
+104
+311
+100
+300
4
1		-0.72960-0.74051-0.65277
Rennes
Lyon		14.6%
65.5%		19.9%
+275
+107
+260
+105
4
2		-1.34159-1.33094-1.92442
Monaco
Strasbourg		45.5%
29.1%		25.4%
+189
+183
+180
+170
0
1		-1.05403-1.03724-1.23385
Lens
Metz		42.4%
29.9%		27.7%
-130
+420
-135
+380
0
0		-1.35743-1.36004-1.28410
Reims
Angers		25.5%
47.3%		27.1%
+262
+148
+250
+135
1
0		-1.30704-1.30177-1.36563
Bordeaux
Paris Saint-Germain		3.1%
88.7%		8.2%
+2200
-729
+1700
-760
0
3		-0.14829-0.17277-0.11980
Nantes
Troyes		23.6%
50.3%		26.1%
+158
+216
+150
+200
0
1		-1.16700-1.14816-0.68814
Nice
Montpellier		37.6%
35.5%		26.9%
+125
+240
+115
+240
0
0		-1.30922-1.28627-1.31178
Saint-Etienne
Lille		8.5%
75.7%		15.8%
+462
-135
+485
-150
0
0		-1.34458-1.31822-1.84586
Monaco
Marseille		29.2%
45.0%		25.7%
+187
+162
+190
+155
1
0		-1.07825-1.10842-1.22963
Clermont Foot
Lille		12.4%
67.1%		20.5%
+532
-145
+450
-150
0
4		-0.54466-0.56161-0.39855
Angers
Rennes		20.3%
55.6%		24.1%
+809
-228
+775
-250
0
2		-0.38594-0.38602-0.58767
Strasbourg
Reims		30.0%
41.2%		28.8%
+124
+302
+125
+265
1
1		-1.14015-1.14907-1.24466
Montpellier
Nantes		35.7%
36.4%		27.9%
+338
+101
+310
-105
0
2		-0.71959-0.71803-1.01030
Metz
Saint-Etienne		27.1%
45.5%		27.3%
+415
-109
+370
-115
0
1		-0.67976-0.67515-0.78654
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice		62.3%
16.7%		21.0%
-141
+405
-145
+365
0
1		-1.64201-1.58641-1.78809
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.