France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brest
Lens		13.9%
67.0%		19.0%
+550
-171
+510
-165
1
0		-1.88381-1.83835-1.97213
Lyon
Lorient		56.0%
21.3%		22.7%
-139
+445
-125
+335
4
1		-0.55635-0.63858-0.58000
Lille
Lyon		26.1%
48.4%		25.4%
+378
-122
+350
-125
1
0		-1.58275-1.55452-1.34316
Marseille
Troyes		49.5%
24.1%		26.4%
-121
+390
-140
+400
1
1		-1.33983-1.37054-1.33003
Nantes
Metz		24.6%
49.2%		26.2%
+173
+213
+175
+180
0
0		-1.11307-1.17386-1.33995
Lorient
Brest		26.8%
48.0%		25.1%
+263
+123
+275
+105
1
0		-1.31230-1.37338-1.31502
Lens
Angers		37.2%
34.8%		28.0%
+135
+238
+135
+215
2
1		-0.87500-0.90387-0.98779
Reims
Monaco		10.7%
72.1%		17.2%
+732
-219
+700
-225
2
1		-2.14021-2.13073-2.23745
Saint-Etienne
Paris Saint-Germain		3.2%
88.5%		8.3%
+1806
-632
+1800
-750
1
3		-0.17533-0.17326-0.12199
Nice
Strasbourg		36.3%
36.0%		27.7%
+310
+107
+255
+110
0
0		-1.24466-1.27447-1.28457
Rennes
Montpellier		29.5%
43.4%		27.1%
-126
+415
-125
+345
4
2		-0.59232-0.64061-1.22170
Clermont Foot
Marseille		13.9%
64.6%		21.5%
+654
-183
+575
-200
2
0		-2.01223-1.95327-1.97213
Monaco
Bordeaux		58.7%
19.5%		21.8%
-150
+465
-165
+445
1
1		-1.44092-1.45981-1.52308
Strasbourg
Saint-Etienne		35.8%
35.6%		28.6%
+145
+225
+135
+210
2
2		-1.22533-1.24382-1.25302
Troyes
Rennes		17.5%
58.8%		23.6%
+1150
-280
+980
-315
1
4		-0.31267-0.32605-0.53093
Brest
Reims		22.5%
52.4%		25.1%
+244
+145
+225
+135
1
1		-1.16142-1.19683-1.38115
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.