France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Montpellier
Lorient		33.6%
39.2%		27.1%
+219
+150
+220
+130
1
0		-1.18097-1.21224-1.08934
Angers
Nice		14.9%
65.4%		19.7%
+402
-115
+450
-145
0
1		-0.64451-0.57467-0.42482
Paris Saint-Germain
Nantes		79.8%
6.8%		13.4%
-315
+965
-235
+800
1
3		-2.38499-2.20030-2.69178
Lyon
Lens		36.8%
36.0%		27.2%
+132
+228
+130
+205
1
1		-1.29452-1.28953-1.30295
Metz
Lille		9.0%
74.1%		16.9%
+645
-165
+665
-215
0
0		-1.40621-1.47596-1.78017
Marseille
Metz		47.0%
27.4%		25.6%
-143
+456
-145
+425
2
1		-0.55149-0.57235-0.75417
Bordeaux
Lens		20.1%
62.4%		17.5%
+483
-166
+475
-175
2
3		-0.48441-0.49394-0.47151
Reims
Nantes		32.4%
38.3%		29.2%
+273
+127
+255
+125
0
1		-0.84553-0.86353-0.95847
Saint-Etienne
Clermont Foot		24.4%
51.7%		23.9%
+220
+150
+220
+135
2
1		-1.17766-1.21244-1.41235
Troyes
Brest		30.1%
43.6%		26.3%
+325
-101
+310
-105
1
5		-0.70514-0.71803-0.82984
Strasbourg
Angers		32.1%
40.9%		26.9%
+145
+225
+130
+220
1
0		-0.91569-0.88201-1.13485
Lorient
Monaco		16.6%
71.3%		12.1%
+806
-260
+670
-260
0
0		-1.69184-1.66829-2.11064
Nice
Lyon		26.1%
52.9%		21.0%
+359
-115
+340
-125
0
2		-0.63482-0.63609-0.63684
Lille
Montpellier		42.8%
30.8%		26.3%
+146
+212
+130
+210
1
0		-0.91689-0.88312-0.84786
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain		10.7%
80.1%		9.2%
+519
-178
+500
-200
0
1		-0.46258-0.45495-0.22202
Paris Saint-Germain
Lille		48.5%
26.8%		24.6%
-150
+470
-170
+450
5
1		-0.52997-0.50569-0.72264
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.