Leverkusen at Mainz 05

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

39.7%25.7%34.6%
Leverkusen WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.41Projected Goals 1.30
3Final Score 0

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
W 1-4 vs FC Heidenheim-500
T 2-2 at Bayern Munich+400
W 1-5 vs Darmstadt 98-450
W 3-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach-128
W 2-3 vs RB Leipzig+145
Mainz 05
Money Line
L 1-2 at Augsburg+180
L 3-1 vs VfB Stuttgart+155
L 0-4 at Werder Bremen+155
T 1-1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+165
L 1-4 at Union Berlin+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen-153-170-175-170-165-165-165-150.9
Mainz 05+391+435+420+445+425+425+435+443.6
Draw+333+348+350+350+350+350+350+365.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen-170--172--225-180-172-150.9
Mainz 05+410-+400-+410+440+440+443.6
Draw+340-+354-+320+350+354+365.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from -178 to -185
Mainz 05 ML moved from +449 to +435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from -180 to -195
Mainz 05 ML moved from +420 to +400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-106o3-123o3-115o3-113o3-113o3-113o3-113o3-103
Underu3-112u3+105u3-105u3-107u3-107u3-107u3+105u3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-115o3-116-o3-120o3-120o3-115o3-103
Underu3-105u3-105u3-104-u3-110u3+100u3+100u3+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.0%
 
No45.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.64%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 414.97%
Exactly 63.67%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.01%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 58.12%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 024.36%
Exactly 134.40%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 311.43%
Exactly 44.04%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 027.26%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.49%
Exactly 222.46%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 39.40%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 052.01%
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 211.12%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 054.78%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 29.92%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals18.61%
Wins by 3+ goals6.88%
Wins by 4+ goals2.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals15.14%
Wins by 3+ goals5.21%
Wins by 4+ goals1.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal21.06%
Wins by 2 goals11.72%
Wins by 3 goals4.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.57%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal19.38%
Wins by 2 goals9.93%
Wins by 3 goals3.77%
Wins by 4 goals1.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.36%6.64%
1.575.35%24.65%
2.550.93%49.07%
3.528.85%71.15%
4.513.89%86.11%
5.55.77%94.23%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.64%24.36%
1.541.23%58.77%
2.516.94%83.06%
3.55.51%94.49%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.74%27.26%
1.537.31%62.69%
2.514.28%85.72%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.51%28.49%
1.535.74%64.26%
2.513.28%86.72%
3.53.88%96.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
6.64%
8.63%
5.61%
2.43%
0.79%
0.21%
1
9.38%
12.19%
7.92%
3.43%
1.12%
0.29%
2
6.62%
8.61%
5.59%
2.42%
0.79%
0.20%
3
3.12%
4.05%
2.63%
1.14%
0.37%
0.10%
4
1.10%
1.43%
0.93%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.31%
0.40%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-09.38%
2-06.62%
2-18.61%
3-03.12%
3-14.05%
3-22.63%
4-01.10%
4-11.43%
4-20.93%
4-30.40%
5-00.31%
5-10.40%
5-20.26%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.64%
1-112.19%
2-25.59%
3-31.14%
4-40.13%
Mainz 05
0-18.63%
0-25.61%
1-27.92%
0-32.43%
1-33.43%
2-32.42%
0-40.79%
1-41.12%
2-40.79%
3-40.37%
0-50.21%
1-50.29%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
28.49%
17.15%
5.16%
1.03%
0.16%
1
18.63%
11.21%
3.37%
0.68%
0.10%
2
6.09%
3.66%
1.10%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.33%
0.80%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.22%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-018.63%
2-06.09%
2-13.66%
3-01.33%
3-10.80%
3-20.24%
4-00.22%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-028.49%
1-111.21%
2-21.10%
Mainz 05
0-117.15%
0-25.16%
1-23.37%
0-31.03%
1-30.68%
2-30.22%
0-40.16%
1-40.10%