Mainz 05 at Werder Bremen

Updated

Mainz 05

33.0%25.3%41.6%
Mainz 05 WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.48
0Final Score 4

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+165
L 1-4 at Union Berlin+280
T 2-2 at Dortmund+1165
L 4-1 vs VfB Stuttgart+180
L 0-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt+240
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Freiburg+375
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+730
L 0-1 at Union Berlin+600
T 1-1 vs FC Koln+160
L 1-2 at RB Leipzig+1150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+145+158+155+168+166+168+168+177.7
Werder Bremen+165+173+165+168+168+168+173+177.7
Draw+270+251+255+245+248+245+255+257.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+145-+154-+135+155+155+177.7
Werder Bremen+170-+165-+150+165+165+177.7
Draw+265-+255-+235+255+255+257.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +158 to +148
Werder Bremen ML moved from +185 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML
No Steam Moves On Werder Bremen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o2½-130o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu2¾+102u2½+110u2¾-118u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-118u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+120o2½-137-o2½-140o2½-130o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu3-130u3-140u2½+117-u2½+110u2½+110u3-140u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.9%
 
No44.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.28%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 415.36%
Exactly 63.92%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.38%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.50%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 027.55%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 39.84%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 022.80%
Exactly 133.71%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 312.28%
Exactly 44.54%
Exactly 51.34%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.76%
Exactly 222.80%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.74%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 055.05%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 29.81%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 050.43%
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 211.82%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals14.30%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals20.12%
Wins by 3+ goals7.72%
Wins by 4+ goals2.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal18.70%
Wins by 2 goals9.44%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal21.44%
Wins by 2 goals12.41%
Wins by 3 goals5.33%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.72%6.28%
1.576.34%23.66%
2.552.28%47.72%
3.530.09%69.91%
4.514.73%85.27%
5.56.23%93.77%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.45%27.55%
1.536.94%63.06%
2.514.04%85.96%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.20%22.80%
1.543.49%56.51%
2.518.58%81.42%
3.56.30%93.70%
4.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.24%27.76%
1.536.66%63.34%
2.513.86%86.14%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
6.28%
9.29%
6.86%
3.38%
1.25%
0.37%
1
8.10%
11.97%
8.85%
4.36%
1.61%
0.48%
2
5.22%
7.72%
5.70%
2.81%
1.04%
0.31%
3
2.24%
3.32%
2.45%
1.21%
0.45%
0.13%
4
0.72%
1.07%
0.79%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.19%
0.28%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Mainz 05
1-08.10%
2-05.22%
2-17.72%
3-02.24%
3-13.32%
3-22.45%
4-00.72%
4-11.07%
4-20.79%
4-30.39%
5-00.19%
5-10.28%
5-20.20%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.28%
1-111.97%
2-25.70%
3-31.21%
4-40.14%
Werder Bremen
0-19.29%
0-26.86%
1-28.85%
0-33.38%
1-34.36%
2-32.81%
0-41.25%
1-41.61%
2-41.04%
3-40.45%
0-50.37%
1-50.48%
2-50.31%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
27.76%
19.00%
6.50%
1.48%
0.25%
1
16.57%
11.34%
3.88%
0.89%
0.15%
2
4.95%
3.39%
1.16%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.98%
0.67%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-016.57%
2-04.95%
2-13.39%
3-00.98%
3-10.67%
3-20.23%
4-00.15%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-027.76%
1-111.34%
2-21.16%
Werder Bremen
0-119.00%
0-26.50%
1-23.88%
0-31.48%
1-30.89%
2-30.26%
0-40.25%
1-40.15%