Koln at Werder Bremen

Updated

FC Koln

28.1%24.0%47.9%
Koln WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.69
1Final Score 1

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

FC Koln
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Hertha BSC-110
W 2-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+434
L 1-0 vs Freiburg+145
W 3-1 at Hoffenheim+215
T 1-1 vs Mainz 05+165
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 1-2 at RB Leipzig+1150
L 2-1 vs Bayern Munich+850
L 1-2 at Schalke 04+190
W 4-2 at Hertha BSC+205
L 2-1 vs Freiburg+168

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Koln+158+168+165+166+173+166+173+175.2
Werder Bremen+160+152+145+152+152+152+152+160.7
Draw+272+271+280+282+277+282+282+295.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Koln+155-+162-+130+155+162+175.2
Werder Bremen+150-+150-+150+160+160+160.7
Draw+285-+269-+240+265+269+295.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Koln: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Koln: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Koln: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Koln ML moved from +162 to +156
Werder Bremen ML moved from +163 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Koln: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Koln: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Koln: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Koln ML moved from +140 to +130
No Steam Moves On Werder Bremen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+101o3+101o3+102o3+105o3+107o3+105o3+107o3+114
Underu3-119u3-119u3-122u3-125u3-122u3-125u3-119u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100o3+105-o3-105o3+105o3+105o3+114
Underu3-120u3-120u3-125-u3-125u3-125u3-120u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.9%
 
No42.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.35%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 416.39%
Exactly 64.69%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.66%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.60%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - FC Koln
Exactly 028.95%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 39.19%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 018.47%
Exactly 131.20%
Exactly 226.34%
Exactly 314.83%
Exactly 46.26%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.77%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.71%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC Koln
Exactly 056.33%
Exactly 132.33%
Exactly 29.28%
Exactly 31.78%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 045.75%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 213.99%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC Koln
Wins by 2+ goals11.62%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals25.46%
Wins by 3+ goals10.91%
Wins by 4+ goals3.84%
Wins by 5+ goals1.12%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

FC Koln
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
FC Koln
Wins by 1 goal16.46%
Wins by 2 goals7.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal22.42%
Wins by 2 goals14.55%
Wins by 3 goals7.07%
Wins by 4 goals2.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.86%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.65%5.35%
1.578.99%21.01%
2.556.06%43.94%
3.533.68%66.32%
4.517.29%82.71%
5.57.69%92.31%
6.53.00%97.00%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals FC Koln Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.05%28.95%
1.535.17%64.83%
2.512.92%87.08%
3.53.73%96.27%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.53%18.47%
1.550.33%49.67%
2.523.98%76.02%
3.59.15%90.85%
4.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.23%25.77%
1.539.29%60.71%
2.515.60%84.40%
3.54.89%95.11%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Koln
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
5.35%
9.03%
7.63%
4.29%
1.81%
0.61%
1
6.63%
11.20%
9.45%
5.32%
2.25%
0.76%
2
4.11%
6.94%
5.86%
3.30%
1.39%
0.47%
3
1.70%
2.87%
2.42%
1.36%
0.58%
0.19%
4
0.53%
0.89%
0.75%
0.42%
0.18%
0.06%
5
0.13%
0.22%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
FC Koln
1-06.63%
2-04.11%
2-16.94%
3-01.70%
3-12.87%
3-22.42%
4-00.53%
4-10.89%
4-20.75%
4-30.42%
5-00.13%
5-10.22%
5-20.19%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-05.35%
1-111.20%
2-25.86%
3-31.36%
4-40.18%
Werder Bremen
0-19.03%
0-27.63%
1-29.45%
0-34.29%
1-35.32%
2-33.30%
0-41.81%
1-42.25%
2-41.39%
3-40.58%
0-50.61%
1-50.76%
2-50.47%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Koln
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
25.77%
20.15%
7.88%
2.05%
0.40%
1
14.79%
11.57%
4.52%
1.18%
0.23%
2
4.25%
3.32%
1.30%
0.34%
0.07%
3
0.81%
0.64%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
FC Koln
1-014.79%
2-04.25%
2-13.32%
3-00.81%
3-10.64%
3-20.25%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-025.77%
1-111.57%
2-21.30%
Werder Bremen
0-120.15%
0-27.88%
1-24.52%
0-32.05%
1-31.18%
2-30.34%
0-40.40%
1-40.23%