Dortmund at Stuttgart

Updated

Dortmund

57.8%21.0%21.2%
Dortmund WinDrawStuttgart Win
2.07Projected Goals 1.18
1Final Score 2

VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+295
T 3-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt+125
W 0-1 vs Werder Bremen-370
W 2-4 vs Union Berlin-150
W 3-1 at Hoffenheim+110
VfB Stuttgart
Money Line
L 0-2 at FC Heidenheim-165
L 3-2 vs Hoffenheim-130
W 3-0 at Union Berlin+171
W 1-3 vs Wolfsburg-110
W 2-0 at FC Koln+148

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+149+173+165+173+173+173+173+182.3
Stuttgart+167+143+145+145+145+145+145+153.4
Draw+279+282+285+285+285+285+285+298.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+150-+168-+140+160+168+182.3
Stuttgart+160-+140-+130+150+150+153.4
Draw+275-+280-+260+275+280+298.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +175 to +169
Stuttgart ML moved from +150 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +160 to +150
Stuttgart ML moved from +148 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+112o3-133o3¼+100o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-109
Underu3½-132u3+113u3¼-120u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+113u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3-140o3-125-o3-145o3-125o3-125o3-109
Underu3+120u3+120u3+105-u3+115u3+105u3+120u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½+115
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.5%
 
No39.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.90%
Exactly 220.51%
Exactly 418.01%
Exactly 66.32%
Exactly 81.19%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.64%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 511.69%
Exactly 72.93%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 012.65%
Exactly 126.16%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.63%
Exactly 49.63%
Exactly 53.98%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 030.79%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.25%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 44.73%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.44%
Exactly 312.58%
Exactly 51.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 038.40%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.59%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 057.96%
Exactly 131.61%
Exactly 28.62%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals35.06%
Wins by 3+ goals17.55%
Wins by 4+ goals7.34%
Wins by 5+ goals2.61%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 2+ goals8.18%
Wins by 3+ goals2.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal22.75%
Wins by 2 goals17.51%
Wins by 3 goals10.21%
Wins by 4 goals4.74%
Wins by 5 goals1.82%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 1 goal12.97%
Wins by 2 goals5.68%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.10%3.90%
1.583.46%16.54%
2.562.95%37.05%
3.540.76%59.24%
4.522.75%77.25%
5.511.06%88.94%
6.54.74%95.26%
7.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.35%12.65%
1.561.19%38.81%
2.534.16%65.84%
3.515.52%84.48%
4.55.89%94.11%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals VfB Stuttgart Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.21%30.79%
1.532.94%67.06%
2.511.58%88.42%
3.53.19%96.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.75%22.25%
1.544.31%55.69%
2.519.18%80.82%
3.56.60%93.40%
4.51.87%98.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
Score01234
0
3.90%
4.59%
2.70%
1.06%
0.31%
1
8.05%
9.49%
5.59%
2.19%
0.65%
2
8.32%
9.81%
5.78%
2.27%
0.67%
3
5.74%
6.76%
3.98%
1.56%
0.46%
4
2.96%
3.49%
2.06%
0.81%
0.24%
5
1.23%
1.44%
0.85%
0.33%
0.10%
Dortmund
1-08.05%
2-08.32%
2-19.81%
3-05.74%
3-16.76%
3-23.98%
4-02.96%
4-13.49%
4-22.06%
4-30.81%
5-01.23%
5-11.44%
5-20.85%
5-30.33%
Draw
0-03.90%
1-19.49%
2-25.78%
3-31.56%
4-40.24%
VfB Stuttgart
0-14.59%
0-22.70%
1-25.59%
0-31.06%
1-32.19%
2-32.27%
0-40.31%
1-40.65%
2-40.67%
3-40.46%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
Score0123
0
22.25%
12.14%
3.31%
0.60%
1
21.30%
11.62%
3.17%
0.58%
2
10.20%
5.56%
1.52%
0.28%
3
3.25%
1.77%
0.48%
0.09%
4
0.78%
0.42%
0.12%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-021.30%
2-010.20%
2-15.56%
3-03.25%
3-11.77%
3-20.48%
4-00.78%
4-10.42%
4-20.12%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-022.25%
1-111.62%
2-21.52%
VfB Stuttgart
0-112.14%
0-23.31%
1-23.17%
0-30.60%
1-30.58%
2-30.28%