Werder Bremen at Dortmund

Updated

Werder Bremen

8.8%13.1%78.1%
WinDrawDortmund Win
0.92Projected Goals 2.92
0Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Hoffenheim+160
L 2-4 at Darmstadt 98+140
W 1-2 vs FC Koln+145
L 2-4 at FC Heidenheim+190
W 0-4 vs Mainz 05+165
Dortmund
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Union Berlin-150
W 3-1 at Hoffenheim+110
W 0-1 vs Wolfsburg-140
W 4-2 at Freiburg+135
T 2-2 vs FC Heidenheim-409

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+616+850+750+845+845+845+850+877.7
Dortmund-253-360-360-355-355-355-355-306.7
Draw+445+558+550+573+573+573+573+596.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+665-+770-+580+875+875+877.7
Dortmund-290--370--350-400-370-306.7
Draw+470-+565-+400+575+575+596.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Dortmund: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +750 to +725
Dortmund ML moved from -352 to -360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Dortmund: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +850 to +750
Dortmund ML moved from -375 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-112o4+115o3¾-108o3¾-115o3¾-115o3¾-115o3¾-108o3¾-104
Underu3½-106u4-135u3¾-112u3¾-105u3¾-105u3¾-105u4-135u3¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o4+110o4+118-o3½-130o4+105o3½-130o3¾-104
Underu3½-105u4-130u4-138-u3½+100u4-125u4-125u3¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-135 to o4+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.9%
 
No43.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.14%
Exactly 215.83%
Exactly 419.47%
Exactly 69.58%
Exactly 82.53%
Exactly 100.41%
 
Exactly 18.24%
Exactly 320.27%
Exactly 514.97%
Exactly 75.26%
Exactly 91.08%
Exactly 110.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 039.90%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 05.37%
Exactly 115.71%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 416.36%
Exactly 59.57%
Exactly 64.66%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 80.71%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.88%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 47.05%
Exactly 60.74%
 
Exactly 130.03%
Exactly 315.84%
Exactly 52.51%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 065.35%
Exactly 127.80%
Exactly 25.91%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 025.83%
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 310.68%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 50.98%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals2.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.62%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals58.55%
Wins by 3+ goals37.87%
Wins by 4+ goals21.07%
Wins by 5+ goals10.14%
Wins by 6+ goals4.24%
Wins by 7+ goals1.54%
Wins by 8+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Werder Bremen
Dortmund
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal6.10%
Wins by 2 goals2.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal19.42%
Wins by 2 goals20.68%
Wins by 3 goals16.81%
Wins by 4 goals10.93%
Wins by 5 goals5.89%
Wins by 6 goals2.71%
Wins by 7 goals1.08%
Wins by 8 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.86%2.14%
1.589.62%10.38%
2.573.79%26.21%
3.553.52%46.48%
4.534.04%65.96%
5.519.08%80.92%
6.59.49%90.51%
7.54.23%95.77%
8.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.10%39.90%
1.523.44%76.56%
2.56.60%93.40%
3.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.63%5.37%
1.578.92%21.08%
2.555.95%44.05%
3.533.57%66.43%
4.517.21%82.79%
5.57.64%92.36%
6.52.98%97.02%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.12%16.88%
1.553.09%46.91%
2.526.38%73.62%
3.510.54%89.46%
4.53.49%96.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Werder Bremen
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
2.14%
6.27%
9.16%
8.93%
6.53%
3.82%
1.86%
1
1.97%
5.76%
8.42%
8.21%
6.00%
3.51%
1.71%
2
0.90%
2.65%
3.87%
3.77%
2.76%
1.61%
0.79%
3
0.28%
0.81%
1.18%
1.15%
0.84%
0.49%
0.24%
Werder Bremen
1-01.97%
2-00.90%
2-12.65%
3-00.28%
3-10.81%
3-21.18%
Draw
0-02.14%
1-15.76%
2-23.87%
3-31.15%
4-40.19%
Dortmund
0-16.27%
0-29.16%
1-28.42%
0-38.93%
1-38.21%
2-33.77%
0-46.53%
1-46.00%
2-42.76%
3-40.84%
0-53.82%
1-53.51%
2-51.61%
3-50.49%
4-50.11%
0-61.86%
1-61.71%
2-60.79%
3-60.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Werder Bremen
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
16.88%
22.85%
15.47%
6.98%
2.36%
0.64%
0.14%
1
7.18%
9.72%
6.58%
2.97%
1.00%
0.27%
0.06%
2
1.53%
2.07%
1.40%
0.63%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.29%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Werder Bremen
1-07.18%
2-01.53%
2-12.07%
3-00.22%
3-10.29%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-016.88%
1-19.72%
2-21.40%
Dortmund
0-122.85%
0-215.47%
1-26.58%
0-36.98%
1-32.97%
2-30.63%
0-42.36%
1-41.00%
2-40.21%
0-50.64%
1-50.27%
0-60.14%