Hoffenheim at Werder Bremen

Updated

Hoffenheim

38.5%25.2%36.2%
Hoffenheim WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.43Projected Goals 1.38
3Final Score 2

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Dortmund+205
W 2-0 at Union Berlin+245
W 3-1 at FC Koln+205
W 1-3 vs Wolfsburg+152
W 3-2 at FC Heidenheim+125
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 2-4 at Darmstadt 98+140
W 1-2 vs FC Koln+145
L 2-4 at FC Heidenheim+190
W 0-4 vs Mainz 05+165
L 0-1 at Freiburg+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+162+158+150+155+155+155+158+163.9
Werder Bremen+156+159+160+165+165+165+165+174.2
Draw+274+274+275+277+277+277+277+290.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+120-+150-+140+155+155+163.9
Werder Bremen+160-+160-+130+155+160+174.2
Draw+250-+274-+265+275+275+290.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +166 to +155
Werder Bremen ML moved from +167 to +161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +165 to +150
Werder Bremen ML moved from +160 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-136o3-130o3-125o3-124o3-124o3-124o3-124o3-113
Underu3+114u3+110u3+105u3+104u3+104u3+104u3+110u3+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+130o3-120-o3½+110o3-120o3-120o3-113
Underu3½-140u3½-150u3+100-u3½-140u3+100u3½-140u3+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-110 to u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.9%
 
No43.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.04%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 415.61%
Exactly 64.10%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.96%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.76%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 023.97%
Exactly 134.24%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 311.64%
Exactly 44.16%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 025.22%
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 310.99%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.28%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 39.97%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 051.61%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 211.29%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 052.85%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 210.75%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals18.05%
Wins by 3+ goals6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals2.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals16.47%
Wins by 3+ goals5.92%
Wins by 4+ goals1.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal20.42%
Wins by 2 goals11.35%
Wins by 3 goals4.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.53%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal19.69%
Wins by 2 goals10.55%
Wins by 3 goals4.21%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.96%6.04%
1.576.99%23.01%
2.553.20%46.80%
3.530.94%69.06%
4.515.33%84.67%
5.56.56%93.44%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.03%23.97%
1.541.80%58.20%
2.517.34%82.66%
3.55.70%94.30%
4.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.78%25.22%
1.540.04%59.96%
2.516.11%83.89%
3.55.12%94.88%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.72%27.28%
1.537.29%62.71%
2.514.27%85.73%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
6.04%
8.33%
5.73%
2.63%
0.91%
0.25%
1
8.63%
11.89%
8.19%
3.76%
1.30%
0.36%
2
6.17%
8.50%
5.85%
2.69%
0.93%
0.25%
3
2.94%
4.05%
2.79%
1.28%
0.44%
0.12%
4
1.05%
1.44%
1.00%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.30%
0.41%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Hoffenheim
1-08.63%
2-06.17%
2-18.50%
3-02.94%
3-14.05%
3-22.79%
4-01.05%
4-11.44%
4-21.00%
4-30.46%
5-00.30%
5-10.41%
5-20.28%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.04%
1-111.89%
2-25.85%
3-31.28%
4-40.16%
Werder Bremen
0-18.33%
0-25.73%
1-28.19%
0-32.63%
1-33.76%
2-32.69%
0-40.91%
1-41.30%
2-40.93%
3-40.44%
0-50.25%
1-50.36%
2-50.25%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
27.28%
17.40%
5.55%
1.18%
0.19%
1
18.04%
11.51%
3.67%
0.78%
0.12%
2
5.97%
3.80%
1.21%
0.26%
0.04%
3
1.32%
0.84%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.22%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-018.04%
2-05.97%
2-13.80%
3-01.32%
3-10.84%
3-20.27%
4-00.22%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-027.28%
1-111.51%
2-21.21%
Werder Bremen
0-117.40%
0-25.55%
1-23.67%
0-31.18%
1-30.78%
2-30.26%
0-40.19%
1-40.12%