Freiburg at Leverkusen

Updated

Freiburg

11.7%16.5%71.7%
WinDrawLeverkusen Win
0.91Projected Goals 2.48
1Final Score 5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Wolfsburg+135
T 1-1 at Hoffenheim+186
W 1-3 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+105
L 0-4 at Dortmund+337
T 0-0 at Union Berlin+210
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
W 2-0 at Augsburg-165
W 1-2 vs FC St. Pauli-390
W 2-1 at Union Berlin-120
W 2-5 vs FC Heidenheim-515
T 1-1 at VfL Bochum-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+588+665+575+740+710+740+740+769.8
Leverkusen-211-244-240-260-264-260-240-230.6
Draw+364+400+390+415+409+415+415+433.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+675-+685-+625+700+700+769.8
Leverkusen-265--270--320-275-270-230.6
Draw+415-+410-+340+415+415+433.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 20.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +600 to +575
Leverkusen ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 10.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +675 to +640
Leverkusen ML moved from -250 to -275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o3-117o2¾-120o3-115o3-111o3-115o2¾-120o3-104
Underu3-125u3-101u2¾+100u3-105u3-109u3-105u3-101u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100o3-105-o3+105o3-105o3+105o3-104
Underu3-120u3-120u3-115-u3-135u3-115u3-115u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%
 
No45.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.38%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 418.54%
Exactly 67.10%
Exactly 81.46%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.44%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 512.57%
Exactly 73.44%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 040.35%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.62%
Exactly 35.03%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 08.37%
Exactly 120.76%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 321.29%
Exactly 413.21%
Exactly 56.55%
Exactly 62.71%
Exactly 70.96%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.83%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 45.26%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 313.41%
Exactly 51.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 065.69%
Exactly 127.61%
Exactly 25.80%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 031.71%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.92%
Exactly 38.01%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals3.64%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals49.56%
Wins by 3+ goals28.81%
Wins by 4+ goals14.15%
Wins by 5+ goals5.92%
Wins by 6+ goals2.11%
Wins by 7+ goals0.62%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal8.08%
Wins by 2 goals2.77%
Wins by 3 goals0.71%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal22.09%
Wins by 2 goals20.74%
Wins by 3 goals14.66%
Wins by 4 goals8.23%
Wins by 5 goals3.81%
Wins by 6 goals1.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.62%3.38%
1.585.19%14.81%
2.565.80%34.20%
3.543.91%56.09%
4.525.37%74.63%
5.512.80%87.20%
6.55.70%94.30%
7.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.65%40.35%
1.523.03%76.97%
2.56.41%93.59%
3.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.63%8.37%
1.570.88%29.12%
2.545.13%54.87%
3.523.83%76.17%
4.510.63%89.37%
5.54.08%95.92%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.17%20.83%
1.546.50%53.50%
2.520.86%79.14%
3.57.46%92.54%
4.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score012345
0
3.38%
8.37%
10.39%
8.59%
5.33%
2.64%
1
3.06%
7.60%
9.43%
7.80%
4.84%
2.40%
2
1.39%
3.45%
4.28%
3.54%
2.19%
1.09%
3
0.42%
1.04%
1.29%
1.07%
0.66%
0.33%
Freiburg
1-03.06%
2-01.39%
2-13.45%
3-00.42%
3-11.04%
3-21.29%
Draw
0-03.38%
1-17.60%
2-24.28%
3-31.07%
4-40.15%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-18.37%
0-210.39%
1-29.43%
0-38.59%
1-37.80%
2-33.54%
0-45.33%
1-44.84%
2-42.19%
3-40.66%
0-52.64%
1-52.40%
2-51.09%
3-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score012345
0
20.83%
23.92%
13.74%
5.26%
1.51%
0.35%
1
8.75%
10.05%
5.77%
2.21%
0.63%
0.15%
2
1.84%
2.11%
1.21%
0.46%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.26%
0.30%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-08.75%
2-01.84%
2-12.11%
3-00.26%
3-10.30%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-020.83%
1-110.05%
2-21.21%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-123.92%
0-213.74%
1-25.77%
0-35.26%
1-32.21%
2-30.46%
0-41.51%
1-40.63%
2-40.13%
0-50.35%
1-50.15%