German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+326
-115
+320
-120
1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-115
u2½-104
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Borussia Monchengladbach
Freiburg
20.8%
57.3%
21.8%
+325
-118
+310
-120
3
3
-1.42192-1.41535-1.52221
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SpVgg Greuther Furth
71.5%
12.2%
16.3%
-322
+964
-315
+870
4
1
-0.28910-0.31408-0.33598
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
24.2%
51.9%
23.9%
+190
+150
+205
+143
0
5
-0.94636-0.91672-0.65595
RB Leipzig
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
33.2%
41.3%
25.4%
+194
+160
+180
+156
1
0
-1.09542-1.07067-1.10175
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
38.0%
36.1%
25.9%
+301
+105
+280
+100
0
2
-0.73653-0.74087-1.01791
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Hoffenheim
8.6%
78.2%
13.2%
+1400
-461
+1250
-520
0
0
-2.06507-2.03646-2.02692
Bayern Munich
Arminia Bielefeld
83.1%
5.6%
11.2%
-575
+1713
-600
+1500
3
0
-0.17605-0.20089-0.18485
FC Koln
Borussia Monchengladbach
24.6%
52.8%
22.5%
+242
+116
+250
+102
3
1
-1.24462-1.29913-1.40149
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
13.5%
69.0%
17.5%
+465
-166
+525
-180
1
6
-0.49451-0.46421-0.37106
VfL Bochum
Freiburg
14.2%
67.1%
18.6%
+471
-148
+431
-155
0
3
-0.53727-0.54001-0.39903
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05
23.7%
53.5%
22.8%
+270
+105
+290
-104
0
0
-1.31617-1.34419-1.47885
Hertha BSC
Augsburg
29.5%
45.9%
24.6%
+314
-102
+330
-112
1
0
-1.44168-1.49286-1.22197
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
11.7%
72.2%
16.0%
+591
-209
+625
-235
0
3
-0.41189-0.39915-0.32533
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
27.7%
48.2%
24.1%
+210
+145
+205
+140
2
1
-1.15261-1.15728-1.28392
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Bochum
55.5%
22.2%
22.2%
-107
+305
-115
+305
0
0
-1.39058-1.39849-1.50409
Union Berlin
Hertha BSC
31.5%
43.0%
25.5%
+135
+263
+135
+260
4
1
-0.86783-0.87498-1.15572
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.