Holstein Kiel at St. Pauli

Updated

Holstein Kiel

23.5%21.9%54.6%
Holstein Kiel WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.96
1Final Score 3

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Holstein Kiel
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Mainz 05+225
L 1-2 at Werder Bremen+415
W 0-1 vs FC Heidenheim+150
L 1-2 at VfB Stuttgart+1200
L 2-0 vs Union Berlin+270
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 0-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach+320
L 1-0 vs Bayern Munich+1350
W 2-0 at Hoffenheim+295
T 0-0 vs Wolfsburg+149
L 1-2 at Dortmund+960

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+285-+420+465+426+465+465+484.7
St. Pauli-110--150-148-147-148-147-136.2
Draw+270-+290+283+271+283+290+296.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+320-+405-+390+420+420+484.7
St. Pauli-120--145--180-150-145-136.2
Draw+275-+280-+260+285+285+296.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 20.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 20.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +420 to +400
St. Pauli ML moved from -137 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 20.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +422 to +405
St. Pauli ML moved from -150 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122-o2½-108o2½-103o2½-102o2½-103o2½-102o2½+106
Underu2½+102-u2½-112u2½-117u2½-118u2½-117u2½-112u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-120o2½-105o2½-105o2½+106
Underu2½-105u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%
 
No39.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.20%
Exactly 221.10%
Exactly 417.68%
Exactly 65.92%
Exactly 81.06%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.31%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 511.21%
Exactly 72.68%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 029.66%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 014.15%
Exactly 127.67%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.63%
Exactly 48.62%
Exactly 53.37%
Exactly 61.10%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.04%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 44.46%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.82%
Exactly 312.15%
Exactly 51.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 056.97%
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 29.02%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 040.44%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.57%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals9.36%
Wins by 3+ goals2.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals31.81%
Wins by 3+ goals15.21%
Wins by 4+ goals6.03%
Wins by 5+ goals1.99%
Wins by 6+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal14.10%
Wins by 2 goals6.41%
Wins by 3 goals2.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal22.69%
Wins by 2 goals16.60%
Wins by 3 goals9.18%
Wins by 4 goals4.04%
Wins by 5 goals1.46%
Wins by 6 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.80%4.20%
1.582.49%17.51%
2.561.39%38.61%
3.539.09%60.91%
4.521.42%78.58%
5.510.21%89.79%
6.54.29%95.71%
7.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.34%29.66%
1.534.29%65.71%
2.512.38%87.62%
3.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.85%14.15%
1.558.18%41.82%
2.531.13%68.87%
3.513.49%86.51%
4.54.87%95.13%
5.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.96%23.04%
1.543.14%56.86%
2.518.32%81.68%
3.56.17%93.83%
4.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
4.20%
8.21%
8.02%
5.23%
2.56%
1.00%
1
5.10%
9.97%
9.75%
6.36%
3.11%
1.22%
2
3.10%
6.06%
5.93%
3.86%
1.89%
0.74%
3
1.26%
2.46%
2.40%
1.56%
0.76%
0.30%
4
0.38%
0.75%
0.73%
0.48%
0.23%
0.09%
Holstein Kiel
1-05.10%
2-03.10%
2-16.06%
3-01.26%
3-12.46%
3-22.40%
4-00.38%
4-10.75%
4-20.73%
4-30.48%
Draw
0-04.20%
1-19.97%
2-25.93%
3-31.56%
4-40.23%
FC St. Pauli
0-18.21%
0-28.02%
1-29.75%
0-35.23%
1-36.36%
2-33.86%
0-42.56%
1-43.11%
2-41.89%
3-40.76%
0-51.00%
1-51.22%
2-50.74%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
23.04%
20.86%
9.44%
2.85%
0.64%
0.12%
1
12.96%
11.74%
5.31%
1.60%
0.36%
0.07%
2
3.65%
3.30%
1.49%
0.45%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.68%
0.62%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Holstein Kiel
1-012.96%
2-03.65%
2-13.30%
3-00.68%
3-10.62%
3-20.28%
Draw
0-023.04%
1-111.74%
2-21.49%
FC St. Pauli
0-120.86%
0-29.44%
1-25.31%
0-32.85%
1-31.60%
2-30.45%
0-40.64%
1-40.36%
2-40.10%
0-50.12%
St. Pauli at M'gladbach
Bochum at Augsburg