Holstein Kiel at Werder Bremen

Updated

Holstein Kiel

14.6%17.6%67.7%
WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.05Projected Goals 2.43
1Final Score 2

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Holstein Kiel
Money Line
W 0-1 vs FC Heidenheim+150
L 1-2 at VfB Stuttgart+1200
L 2-0 vs Union Berlin+270
T 2-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+2700
L 4-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+275
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 1-4 at Borussia Monchengladbach+215
T 2-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+520
W 4-2 at Wolfsburg+250
L 1-0 vs Freiburg+170
W 4-3 at Hoffenheim+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+408+417+400+440+414+440+440+459.5
Werder Bremen-161-161-170-162-171-162-161-148.0
Draw+343+334+350+330+335+330+350+345.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+390-+415-+355+410+415+459.5
Werder Bremen-165--165--200-165-165-148.0
Draw+345-+324-+315+330+330+345.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +400 to +390
Werder Bremen ML moved from -160 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +435 to +385
Werder Bremen ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3-121o3-115o3-117o3-116o3-117o3-115o3-106
Underu3+119u3+103u3-105u3-103u3-104u3-103u3+103u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3-120o3-120-o3-135o3-120o3-120o3-106
Underu3+120u3+100u3+100-u3+105u3+100u3+105u3+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+120 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.2%
 
No40.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.09%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 418.82%
Exactly 67.58%
Exactly 81.64%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.74%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 513.09%
Exactly 73.77%
Exactly 90.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 035.02%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 08.82%
Exactly 121.42%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 412.77%
Exactly 56.20%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 70.87%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.99%
Exactly 225.91%
Exactly 45.60%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.18%
Exactly 313.90%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 061.52%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 27.26%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 032.49%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals5.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals45.53%
Wins by 3+ goals25.77%
Wins by 4+ goals12.32%
Wins by 5+ goals5.02%
Wins by 6+ goals1.74%
Wins by 7+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Holstein Kiel
Werder Bremen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal9.54%
Wins by 2 goals3.68%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal22.09%
Wins by 2 goals19.77%
Wins by 3 goals13.44%
Wins by 4 goals7.30%
Wins by 5 goals3.28%
Wins by 6 goals1.25%
Wins by 7 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.91%3.09%
1.586.17%13.83%
2.567.49%32.51%
3.545.84%54.16%
4.527.03%72.97%
5.513.94%86.06%
6.56.35%93.65%
7.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.98%35.02%
1.528.24%71.76%
2.58.96%91.04%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.18%8.82%
1.569.76%30.24%
2.543.76%56.24%
3.522.71%77.29%
4.59.94%90.06%
5.53.74%96.26%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.01%19.99%
1.547.83%52.17%
2.521.92%78.08%
3.58.02%91.98%
4.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Holstein Kiel
Werder Bremen
Score0123456
0
3.09%
7.50%
9.11%
7.37%
4.47%
2.17%
0.88%
1
3.24%
7.87%
9.55%
7.73%
4.69%
2.28%
0.92%
2
1.70%
4.13%
5.01%
4.06%
2.46%
1.20%
0.48%
3
0.59%
1.44%
1.75%
1.42%
0.86%
0.42%
0.17%
4
0.16%
0.38%
0.46%
0.37%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
Holstein Kiel
1-03.24%
2-01.70%
2-14.13%
3-00.59%
3-11.44%
3-21.75%
4-00.16%
4-10.38%
4-20.46%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-03.09%
1-17.87%
2-25.01%
3-31.42%
4-40.23%
Werder Bremen
0-17.50%
0-29.11%
1-29.55%
0-37.37%
1-37.73%
2-34.06%
0-44.47%
1-44.69%
2-42.46%
3-40.86%
0-52.17%
1-52.28%
2-51.20%
3-50.42%
4-50.11%
0-60.88%
1-60.92%
2-60.48%
3-60.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Holstein Kiel
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
19.99%
22.47%
12.63%
4.73%
1.33%
0.30%
1
9.71%
10.92%
6.14%
2.30%
0.65%
0.15%
2
2.36%
2.65%
1.49%
0.56%
0.16%
0.04%
3
0.38%
0.43%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Holstein Kiel
1-09.71%
2-02.36%
2-12.65%
3-00.38%
3-10.43%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-019.99%
1-110.92%
2-21.49%
Werder Bremen
0-122.47%
0-212.63%
1-26.14%
0-34.73%
1-32.30%
2-30.56%
0-41.33%
1-40.65%
2-40.16%
0-50.30%
1-50.15%