Freiburg at Werder Bremen

Updated

Freiburg

22.9%22.7%54.4%
Freiburg WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.85
1Final Score 0

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
L 3-0 vs FC St. Pauli-175
W 3-0 at FC Heidenheim+125
W 1-2 vs VfL Bochum-165
L 0-2 at Bayern Munich+1190
W 1-3 vs VfB Stuttgart+275
Werder Bremen
Money Line
W 4-3 at Hoffenheim+185
L 5-0 vs Bayern Munich+800
W 2-1 at Mainz 05+240
T 0-0 vs Dortmund+265
T 2-2 at Augsburg+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+158+160+145+161+158+161+161+170.1
Werder Bremen+167+170+170+172+171+172+172+181.5
Draw+261+252+260+252+253+252+260+264.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+165-+158-+135+150+158+170.1
Werder Bremen+150-+170-+145+170+170+181.5
Draw+265-+240-+240+255+255+264.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +160 to +153
Werder Bremen ML moved from +178 to +171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +165 to +155
No Steam Moves On Werder Bremen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3+119o2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-107o2¾-108o2¾-107o2¾+102
Underu3-127u3-140u2¾-108u2¾-112u2¾-107u2¾-112u3-140u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+110o2½-130-o2½-140o3+110o2½-130o2¾+102
Underu3-130u3-130u2½+110-u2½+110u3-130u3-130u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.9%
 
No43.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.09%
Exactly 222.56%
Exactly 416.68%
Exactly 64.93%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.15%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.94%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 032.48%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.54%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 015.66%
Exactly 129.04%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.63%
Exactly 47.71%
Exactly 52.86%
Exactly 60.88%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.18%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.01%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 059.41%
Exactly 130.93%
Exactly 28.05%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 042.39%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.61%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals8.64%
Wins by 3+ goals2.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals31.01%
Wins by 3+ goals14.37%
Wins by 4+ goals5.49%
Wins by 5+ goals1.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Werder Bremen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal14.15%
Wins by 2 goals6.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal23.34%
Wins by 2 goals16.64%
Wins by 3 goals8.88%
Wins by 4 goals3.75%
Wins by 5 goals1.30%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.91%5.09%
1.579.76%20.24%
2.557.20%42.80%
3.534.80%65.20%
4.518.11%81.89%
5.58.18%91.82%
6.53.24%96.76%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.52%32.48%
1.531.00%69.00%
2.510.46%89.54%
3.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.34%15.66%
1.555.30%44.70%
2.528.39%71.61%
3.511.75%88.25%
4.54.04%95.96%
5.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.82%25.18%
1.540.09%59.91%
2.516.15%83.85%
3.55.14%94.86%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
5.09%
9.43%
8.74%
5.40%
2.50%
0.93%
1
5.72%
10.61%
9.83%
6.08%
2.82%
1.04%
2
3.22%
5.96%
5.53%
3.42%
1.58%
0.59%
3
1.21%
2.24%
2.07%
1.28%
0.59%
0.22%
4
0.34%
0.63%
0.58%
0.36%
0.17%
0.06%
Freiburg
1-05.72%
2-03.22%
2-15.96%
3-01.21%
3-12.24%
3-22.07%
4-00.34%
4-10.63%
4-20.58%
4-30.36%
Draw
0-05.09%
1-110.61%
2-25.53%
3-31.28%
4-40.17%
Werder Bremen
0-19.43%
0-28.74%
1-29.83%
0-35.40%
1-36.08%
2-33.42%
0-42.50%
1-42.82%
2-41.58%
3-40.59%
0-50.93%
1-51.04%
2-50.59%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
25.18%
21.62%
9.28%
2.65%
0.57%
1
13.11%
11.25%
4.83%
1.38%
0.30%
2
3.41%
2.93%
1.26%
0.36%
0.08%
3
0.59%
0.51%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-013.11%
2-03.41%
2-12.93%
3-00.59%
3-10.51%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-025.18%
1-111.25%
2-21.26%
Werder Bremen
0-121.62%
0-29.28%
1-24.83%
0-32.65%
1-31.38%
2-30.36%
0-40.57%
1-40.30%