Werder Bremen at Mainz 05

Updated

Werder Bremen

19.6%20.8%59.5%
WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.10Projected Goals 2.07
2Final Score 1

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Werder Bremen
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Dortmund+265
T 2-2 at Augsburg+175
W 1-4 vs VfL Bochum+115
T 1-1 at RB Leipzig+660
T 2-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+120
Mainz 05
Money Line
T 3-3 at VfB Stuttgart+410
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin+105
W 3-1 at Wolfsburg+120
W 0-3 vs Dortmund+115
T 1-1 at FC Heidenheim+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+302+232+220+237+236+237+237+248.8
Mainz 05-113+116+115+121+115+121+121+128.7
Draw+284+263+265+250+260+250+265+262.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+250-+233-+240+240+240+248.8
Mainz 05+105-+113--115+110+113+128.7
Draw+260-+254-+235+255+255+262.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +246 to +236
Mainz 05 ML moved from +104 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +250 to +240
No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+118o2½-136o2¾-108o2¾-105o2¾-103o2¾-105o2½-136o2¾+104
Underu3-139u2½+115u2¾-112u2¾-115u2¾-111u2¾-115u2¾-111u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-130-o2½-140o2½-135o2½-130o2¾+104
Underu2½+120u2½+115u2½+110-u2½+110u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-139 to u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%
 
No41.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.19%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 417.68%
Exactly 65.93%
Exactly 81.07%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.29%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 511.22%
Exactly 72.69%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 033.14%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.21%
Exactly 37.44%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 012.64%
Exactly 126.15%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.64%
Exactly 49.64%
Exactly 53.99%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.02%
Exactly 224.83%
Exactly 44.46%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.81%
Exactly 312.16%
Exactly 51.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 059.97%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 27.84%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 038.39%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals7.18%
Wins by 3+ goals2.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals36.38%
Wins by 3+ goals18.33%
Wins by 4+ goals7.71%
Wins by 5+ goals2.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.83%
Wins by 7+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal12.35%
Wins by 2 goals5.14%
Wins by 3 goals1.60%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal23.13%
Wins by 2 goals18.05%
Wins by 3 goals10.62%
Wins by 4 goals4.96%
Wins by 5 goals1.91%
Wins by 6 goals0.62%
Wins by 7 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.81%4.19%
1.582.52%17.48%
2.561.43%38.57%
3.539.14%60.86%
4.521.45%78.55%
5.510.23%89.77%
6.54.30%95.70%
7.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.86%33.14%
1.530.26%69.74%
2.510.05%89.95%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.36%12.64%
1.561.21%38.79%
2.534.17%65.83%
3.515.54%84.46%
4.55.90%94.10%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.98%23.02%
1.543.17%56.83%
2.518.34%81.66%
3.56.18%93.82%
4.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
4.19%
8.66%
8.96%
6.18%
3.19%
1.32%
1
4.63%
9.57%
9.90%
6.82%
3.53%
1.46%
2
2.56%
5.28%
5.46%
3.77%
1.95%
0.81%
3
0.94%
1.95%
2.01%
1.39%
0.72%
0.30%
4
0.26%
0.54%
0.56%
0.38%
0.20%
0.08%
Werder Bremen
1-04.63%
2-02.56%
2-15.28%
3-00.94%
3-11.95%
3-22.01%
4-00.26%
4-10.54%
4-20.56%
4-30.38%
Draw
0-04.19%
1-19.57%
2-25.46%
3-31.39%
4-40.20%
Mainz 05
0-18.66%
0-28.96%
1-29.90%
0-36.18%
1-36.82%
2-33.77%
0-43.19%
1-43.53%
2-41.95%
3-40.72%
0-51.32%
1-51.46%
2-50.81%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
23.02%
22.04%
10.55%
3.37%
0.81%
0.15%
1
11.77%
11.27%
5.40%
1.72%
0.41%
0.08%
2
3.01%
2.88%
1.38%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.51%
0.49%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Werder Bremen
1-011.77%
2-03.01%
2-12.88%
3-00.51%
3-10.49%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-023.02%
1-111.27%
2-21.38%
Mainz 05
0-122.04%
0-210.55%
1-25.40%
0-33.37%
1-31.72%
2-30.44%
0-40.81%
1-40.41%
2-40.11%
0-50.15%