Mainz 05 at Holstein Kiel

Updated

Mainz 05

43.6%24.7%31.7%
Mainz 05 WinDrawHolstein Kiel Win
1.57Projected Goals 1.30

Holstein Kiel

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Dortmund+285
T 0-0 at Freiburg+400
T 1-1 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+130
L 2-0 vs RB Leipzig+300
W 3-0 at FC St. Pauli+236
Holstein Kiel
Money Line
L 1-2 at Werder Bremen+415
W 0-1 vs FC Heidenheim+150
L 1-2 at VfB Stuttgart+1200
L 2-0 vs Union Berlin+270
T 2-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+2700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+131+130+130+130+124+130+130+138.0
Holstein Kiel+205+211+205+218+210+218+218+229.1
Draw+258+252+250+250+249+250+252+262.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+135-+120-+110+135+135+138.0
Holstein Kiel+200-+215-+190+200+215+229.1
Draw+245-+250-+230+245+250+262.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +137 to +130
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +205 to +195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +130 to +120
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +200 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-138o2¾-108o2¾-104o2¾-105o2¾-104o2¾-104o2¾+105
Underu2½+117u2½+117u2¾-112u2¾-116u2¾-115u2¾-116u2¾-112u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-130o2½-130-o2½-135o2½-130o2½-130o2¾+105
Underu2½+110u2½+110u2½+110-u2½+105u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.68%
Exactly 223.37%
Exactly 416.01%
Exactly 64.39%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.30%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.18%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 020.85%
Exactly 132.69%
Exactly 225.62%
Exactly 313.39%
Exactly 45.25%
Exactly 51.65%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 027.26%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 39.97%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.51%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 43.43%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 310.34%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 048.39%
Exactly 135.13%
Exactly 212.75%
Exactly 33.08%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 054.79%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 29.92%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals21.88%
Wins by 3+ goals8.76%
Wins by 4+ goals2.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals13.67%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.27%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Holstein Kiel
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal21.65%
Wins by 2 goals13.12%
Wins by 3 goals5.93%
Wins by 4 goals2.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal17.95%
Wins by 2 goals9.01%
Wins by 3 goals3.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.32%5.68%
1.578.02%21.98%
2.554.65%45.35%
3.532.31%67.69%
4.516.30%83.70%
5.57.11%92.89%
6.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.15%20.85%
1.546.46%53.54%
2.520.83%79.17%
3.57.44%92.56%
4.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.74%27.26%
1.537.31%62.69%
2.514.28%85.72%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.49%26.51%
1.538.29%61.71%
2.514.93%85.07%
3.54.59%95.41%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Holstein Kiel
Score012345
0
5.68%
7.39%
4.80%
2.08%
0.68%
0.18%
1
8.91%
11.58%
7.53%
3.26%
1.06%
0.28%
2
6.99%
9.08%
5.90%
2.56%
0.83%
0.22%
3
3.65%
4.74%
3.08%
1.34%
0.43%
0.11%
4
1.43%
1.86%
1.21%
0.52%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.45%
0.58%
0.38%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Mainz 05
1-08.91%
2-06.99%
2-19.08%
3-03.65%
3-14.74%
3-23.08%
4-01.43%
4-11.86%
4-21.21%
4-30.52%
5-00.45%
5-10.58%
5-20.38%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.68%
1-111.58%
2-25.90%
3-31.34%
4-40.17%
Holstein Kiel
0-17.39%
0-24.80%
1-27.53%
0-32.08%
1-33.26%
2-32.56%
0-40.68%
1-41.06%
2-40.83%
3-40.43%
0-50.18%
1-50.28%
2-50.22%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Holstein Kiel
Score01234
0
26.51%
15.95%
4.80%
0.96%
0.14%
1
19.24%
11.58%
3.48%
0.70%
0.11%
2
6.98%
4.20%
1.26%
0.25%
0.04%
3
1.69%
1.02%
0.31%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.31%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-019.24%
2-06.98%
2-14.20%
3-01.69%
3-11.02%
3-20.31%
4-00.31%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-026.51%
1-111.58%
2-21.26%
Holstein Kiel
0-115.95%
0-24.80%
1-23.48%
0-30.96%
1-30.70%
2-30.25%
0-40.14%
1-40.11%