Mainz 05 at St. Pauli

Updated

Mainz 05

39.2%25.7%35.1%
Mainz 05 WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.40Projected Goals 1.31
3Final Score 0

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
L 2-0 vs FC Heidenheim-105
W 3-2 at Augsburg+191
L 2-1 vs Werder Bremen+113
T 3-3 at VfB Stuttgart+410
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin+105
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
W 3-0 at Freiburg+502
T 0-0 vs RB Leipzig+400
L 1-3 at Augsburg+277
L 0-1 at Union Berlin+310
L 2-0 vs FC Heidenheim+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+194-+210+260+252+260+260+272.4
St. Pauli+148-+125+117+116+117+120+124.5
Draw+242-+250+238+241+238+250+249.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+195-+236-+225+235+236+272.4
St. Pauli+140-+115--105+115+115+124.5
Draw+240-+245-+225+250+250+249.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 40.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +195 to +185
St. Pauli ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 30.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML
St. Pauli ML moved from +120 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½-120o2½-105o2½-103o2½-105o2½-103o2½+104
Underu2½-105-u2½+100u2½-115u2½-111u2½-115u2½+100u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-110o2½-105-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-105u2½-110u2½-115-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+100u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.0%
 
No45.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.65%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 414.96%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.02%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.11%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 024.66%
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 311.28%
Exactly 43.95%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 026.96%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.50%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 052.30%
Exactly 133.90%
Exactly 210.99%
Exactly 32.37%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 054.51%
Exactly 133.08%
Exactly 210.04%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals18.23%
Wins by 3+ goals6.69%
Wins by 4+ goals1.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals15.47%
Wins by 3+ goals5.36%
Wins by 4+ goals1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal20.90%
Wins by 2 goals11.54%
Wins by 3 goals4.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal19.57%
Wins by 2 goals10.11%
Wins by 3 goals3.87%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.35%6.65%
1.575.33%24.67%
2.550.90%49.10%
3.528.83%71.17%
4.513.87%86.13%
5.55.76%94.24%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.34%24.66%
1.540.82%59.18%
2.516.65%83.35%
3.55.37%94.63%
4.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.04%26.96%
1.537.70%62.30%
2.514.54%85.46%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.50%28.50%
1.535.72%64.28%
2.513.27%86.73%
3.53.87%96.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
6.65%
8.71%
5.71%
2.50%
0.82%
0.21%
1
9.31%
12.20%
8.00%
3.49%
1.14%
0.30%
2
6.52%
8.54%
5.60%
2.45%
0.80%
0.21%
3
3.04%
3.99%
2.61%
1.14%
0.37%
0.10%
4
1.06%
1.40%
0.91%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.30%
0.39%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Mainz 05
1-09.31%
2-06.52%
2-18.54%
3-03.04%
3-13.99%
3-22.61%
4-01.06%
4-11.40%
4-20.91%
4-30.40%
5-00.30%
5-10.39%
5-20.26%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.65%
1-112.20%
2-25.60%
3-31.14%
4-40.13%
FC St. Pauli
0-18.71%
0-25.71%
1-28.00%
0-32.50%
1-33.49%
2-32.45%
0-40.82%
1-41.14%
2-40.80%
3-40.37%
0-50.21%
1-50.30%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
Score01234
0
28.50%
17.30%
5.25%
1.06%
0.16%
1
18.48%
11.21%
3.40%
0.69%
0.10%
2
5.99%
3.63%
1.10%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.29%
0.79%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.21%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-018.48%
2-05.99%
2-13.63%
3-01.29%
3-10.79%
3-20.24%
4-00.21%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-028.50%
1-111.21%
2-21.10%
FC St. Pauli
0-117.30%
0-25.25%
1-23.40%
0-31.06%
1-30.69%
2-30.22%
0-40.16%
1-40.10%