Mainz 05 at Hoffenheim

Updated

Mainz 05

22.2%21.7%56.1%
Mainz 05 WinDrawHoffenheim Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.97
1Final Score 1

Hoffenheim

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
T 0-0 at Darmstadt 98+125
W 0-2 vs RB Leipzig+385
T 2-2 at VfL Bochum+153
L 3-1 vs Bayern Munich+825
T 2-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach+215
Hoffenheim
Money Line
T 1-1 at Augsburg+171
L 3-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+430
W 3-2 at VfB Stuttgart+318
L 3-1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+105
W 3-2 at Werder Bremen+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+248+287+285+305+305+305+305+319.4
Hoffenheim+103-112-120-117-117-117-112-108.6
Draw+285+294+300+301+301+301+301+315.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+260-+280-+255+275+285+319.4
Hoffenheim-105--115--135-115-115-108.6
Draw+285-+292-+270+300+292+315.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +288 to +281
Hoffenheim ML moved from -110 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +290 to +280
Hoffenheim ML moved from -125 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-106o3-120o3-115o3-118o3-118o3-118o3-115o3-107
Underu3-110u3+102u3-105u3-102u3-102u3-102u3+102u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-115o3-108-o3-110o3-120o3-108o3-107
Underu3-115u3-105u3-112-u3-120u3+100u3+100u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.3%
 
No40.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.34%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 417.52%
Exactly 65.75%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.61%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.99%
Exactly 72.58%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 031.16%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 013.92%
Exactly 127.45%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.79%
Exactly 48.77%
Exactly 53.46%
Exactly 61.14%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.39%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 44.34%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.98%
Exactly 311.95%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 058.28%
Exactly 131.47%
Exactly 28.49%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 040.14%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.72%
Exactly 35.09%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals8.58%
Wins by 3+ goals2.62%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals33.01%
Wins by 3+ goals15.94%
Wins by 4+ goals6.38%
Wins by 5+ goals2.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal13.58%
Wins by 2 goals5.97%
Wins by 3 goals1.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals17.07%
Wins by 3 goals9.56%
Wins by 4 goals4.25%
Wins by 5 goals1.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.66%4.34%
1.582.05%17.95%
2.560.69%39.31%
3.538.36%61.64%
4.520.84%79.16%
5.59.84%90.16%
6.54.09%95.91%
7.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.84%31.16%
1.532.51%67.49%
2.511.32%88.68%
3.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.08%13.92%
1.558.63%41.37%
2.531.57%68.43%
3.513.78%86.22%
4.55.01%94.99%
5.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.61%23.39%
1.542.62%57.38%
2.517.94%82.06%
3.55.99%94.01%
4.51.64%98.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
Score012345
0
4.34%
8.55%
8.43%
5.54%
2.73%
1.08%
1
5.06%
9.97%
9.83%
6.46%
3.19%
1.26%
2
2.95%
5.81%
5.73%
3.77%
1.86%
0.73%
3
1.15%
2.26%
2.23%
1.46%
0.72%
0.28%
4
0.33%
0.66%
0.65%
0.43%
0.21%
0.08%
Mainz 05
1-05.06%
2-02.95%
2-15.81%
3-01.15%
3-12.26%
3-22.23%
4-00.33%
4-10.66%
4-20.65%
4-30.43%
Draw
0-04.34%
1-19.97%
2-25.73%
3-31.46%
4-40.21%
Hoffenheim
0-18.55%
0-28.43%
1-29.83%
0-35.54%
1-36.46%
2-33.77%
0-42.73%
1-43.19%
2-41.86%
3-40.72%
0-51.08%
1-51.26%
2-50.73%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
Score012345
0
23.39%
21.35%
9.75%
2.97%
0.68%
0.12%
1
12.63%
11.53%
5.26%
1.60%
0.37%
0.07%
2
3.41%
3.11%
1.42%
0.43%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.61%
0.56%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-012.63%
2-03.41%
2-13.11%
3-00.61%
3-10.56%
3-20.26%
Draw
0-023.39%
1-111.53%
2-21.42%
Hoffenheim
0-121.35%
0-29.75%
1-25.26%
0-32.97%
1-31.60%
2-30.43%
0-40.68%
1-40.37%
0-50.12%