Copa Sudamericana Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 16, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Alianza
Univ Catolica 		23.3%
51.9%		24.7%
+1919
-1000

1.00
1.63		2.63
o3¼-116
u3¼-106

Games for May 15, 2024
Games for May 17, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
La Calera
Cruzeiro 		15.3%
60.8%		23.8%
+1355
-421

2.38
o2¾-125
u3-121

2nd H
90:00		0
1
Bragantino
Sport Luqueno 		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-164
+494

2.57
o2½-105
u2½-108

2nd H
90:00		3
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Coquimbo Unido
Racing Club		6.6%
78.8%		14.7%
+750
-266

0
3		-0.35522-0.23865
Always Ready
U Cesar Vallejo		30.1%
37.9%		32.0%
+144
+177

2
2		-1.28674-1.13875
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cuiaba		8.6%
72.8%		18.6%
+1100
-348

1
1		-1.81260-1.68185
Fortaleza
Boca Juniors		17.8%
56.7%		25.6%
+390
-136

1
1		-1.34765-1.36438
Danubio
Athletico Paranaense		8.7%
72.9%		18.4%
+1392
-480

2
1		-2.75404-2.44001
Metropolitanos
Lanus		6.5%
79.2%		14.3%
+2963
-1800

0
5		-0.12138-0.23326
Real Tomayapo
Belgrano		7.1%
71.9%		21.0%
+1528
-453

0
1		-0.21329-0.32942
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Potosi		37.0%
30.8%		32.1%
+592
-222

1
2		-0.39779-1.17652
Argentinos Jun
Corinthians		20.0%
51.6%		28.4%
+505
-157

0
4		-0.53142-0.66227
Independiente
Defensa y Just		24.7%
46.7%		28.5%
+340
-109

1
1		-1.30719-1.25365
Nacional
Racing		34.6%
34.3%		31.1%
+501
-183

1
2		-0.49886-1.07026
Lanus
Deportivo Garcilaso		45.7%
27.1%		27.1%
+155
+180

2
0		-0.99150-0.78320
La Calera
Univ Catolica		24.4%
50.3%		25.2%
+1053
-442

0
4		-0.26702-0.68645
Racing Club
Bragantino		25.3%
47.0%		27.6%
+230
+125

1
2		-0.84679-0.75404
Delfin SC
Belgrano		15.2%
63.1%		21.7%
+440
-145

1
1		-1.36453-1.52892
Boca Juniors
Sportivo Trinidense		55.9%
17.7%		26.4%
-242
+790

2
1		-0.38164-0.58157
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.82098 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.68870
0.13228

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Sudamericana is the second-tier South American club tournament behind the Copa Libertadores. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Sudamericana soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.