Danubio at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Danubio

8.7%18.4%72.9%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.55Projected Goals 2.05
2Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Danubio
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sportivo Ameliano
L 1-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 1-2 at CS Emelec+510
L 2-0 vs Guarani-120
L 1-2 at Guarani+260
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Danubio
W 0-1 vs Bragantino+165
W 0-2 vs Penarol+115
W 2-1 at Penarol+260
W 2-4 vs LDU de Quito-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Danubio+1100-+1300+1050+1392+1050+1392+1168.0
Athletico Paranaense-360--480-526-580-526-480-320.2
Draw+400-+500+470+533+470+533+528.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Danubio-----+1168.0
Athletico Paranaense------320.2
Draw-----+528.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Danubio: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Danubio: 30.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Danubio: 40.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Danubio ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122-o2¾-110o2¾-109o2¾-113o2¾-109o2¾-109o2¾+101
Underu2½+102-u2¾-110u2¾-111u2¾-109u2¾-111u2¾-109u2¾-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+101
Under-----u2¾-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.8%
 
No63.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.41%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 414.16%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.28%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.37%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Danubio
Exactly 057.80%
Exactly 131.68%
Exactly 28.68%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 012.81%
Exactly 126.33%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.52%
Exactly 49.52%
Exactly 53.91%
Exactly 61.34%
Exactly 70.39%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.97%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Danubio
Exactly 077.58%
Exactly 119.69%
Exactly 22.50%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 038.62%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 35.54%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Danubio
Wins by 2+ goals1.88%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals47.28%
Wins by 3+ goals24.89%
Wins by 4+ goals10.81%
Wins by 5+ goals3.94%
Wins by 6+ goals1.22%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Danubio
Athletico Paranaense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Danubio
Wins by 1 goal6.82%
Wins by 2 goals1.59%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal25.56%
Wins by 2 goals22.39%
Wins by 3 goals14.08%
Wins by 4 goals6.86%
Wins by 5 goals2.72%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.59%7.41%
1.573.32%26.68%
2.548.23%51.77%
3.526.46%73.54%
4.512.30%87.70%
5.54.92%95.08%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Danubio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.20%57.80%
1.510.51%89.49%
2.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.19%12.81%
1.560.86%39.14%
2.533.81%66.19%
3.515.29%84.71%
4.55.77%94.23%
5.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.03%29.97%
1.533.92%66.08%
2.512.16%87.84%
3.53.42%96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Danubio
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
7.41%
15.22%
15.63%
10.71%
5.50%
2.26%
1
4.06%
8.34%
8.57%
5.87%
3.01%
1.24%
2
1.11%
2.29%
2.35%
1.61%
0.83%
0.34%
3
0.20%
0.42%
0.43%
0.29%
0.15%
0.06%
Danubio
1-04.06%
2-01.11%
2-12.29%
3-00.20%
3-10.42%
3-20.43%
Draw
0-07.41%
1-18.34%
2-22.35%
3-30.29%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.22%
0-215.63%
1-28.57%
0-310.71%
1-35.87%
2-31.61%
0-45.50%
1-43.01%
2-40.83%
3-40.15%
0-52.26%
1-51.24%
2-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Danubio
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
29.97%
28.51%
13.56%
4.30%
1.02%
0.19%
1
7.61%
7.24%
3.44%
1.09%
0.26%
0.05%
2
0.97%
0.92%
0.44%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Danubio
1-07.61%
2-00.97%
2-10.92%
Draw
0-029.97%
1-17.24%
2-20.44%
Athletico Paranaense
0-128.51%
0-213.56%
1-23.44%
0-34.30%
1-31.09%
2-30.14%
0-41.02%
1-40.26%
0-50.19%