Penarol at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Penarol

28.6%27.7%43.7%
Penarol WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.36
0Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Penarol
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+140
W 0-1 vs Sporting Cristal-155
W 3-1 at Sporting Cristal+130
L 1-0 vs Nacional+150
W 2-1 at Nacional+170
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Penarol+260
W 2-4 vs LDU de Quito-170
L 0-1 at LDU de Quito+340
W 1-4 vs AD Cali-115
W 1-0 at AD Cali+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penarol+320+240+255+275+268+255+275+291.5
Athletico Paranaense-110+125+105+107+108+105+125+116.1
Draw+235+225+235+240+225+235+240+254.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penarol+320----+265+265+291.5
Athletico Paranaense-105----+115+115+116.1
Draw+230----+220+220+254.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Penarol: 10.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Penarol: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Penarol: 10.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Penarol: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120o2-120o2-125o2-127-o2-125o2-120o2-116
Underu2+100u2+106u2+105u2+107-u2+105u2+107u2+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120----o2-120o2-120o2-116
Underu2+100----u2+100u2+100u2+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.55%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 411.25%
Exactly 61.90%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.73%
Exactly 320.00%
Exactly 55.06%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 041.06%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.27%
Exactly 34.83%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 025.69%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.30%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 066.22%
Exactly 127.29%
Exactly 25.63%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 053.30%
Exactly 133.54%
Exactly 210.55%
Exactly 32.21%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals8.19%
Wins by 3+ goals2.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals22.71%
Wins by 3+ goals8.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Penarol
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal16.34%
Wins by 2 goals6.14%
Wins by 3 goals1.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal24.94%
Wins by 2 goals14.31%
Wins by 3 goals5.92%
Wins by 4 goals1.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.45%10.55%
1.565.73%34.27%
2.539.04%60.96%
3.519.04%80.96%
4.57.79%92.21%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.94%41.06%
1.522.39%77.61%
2.56.13%93.87%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.31%25.69%
1.539.39%60.61%
2.515.67%84.33%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.70%35.30%
1.527.95%72.05%
2.58.81%91.19%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Penarol
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
10.55%
14.33%
9.74%
4.41%
1.50%
0.41%
1
9.39%
12.76%
8.67%
3.93%
1.33%
0.36%
2
4.18%
5.68%
3.86%
1.75%
0.59%
0.16%
3
1.24%
1.69%
1.15%
0.52%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.28%
0.38%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Penarol
1-09.39%
2-04.18%
2-15.68%
3-01.24%
3-11.69%
3-21.15%
4-00.28%
4-10.38%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.55%
1-112.76%
2-23.86%
3-30.52%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.33%
0-29.74%
1-28.67%
0-34.41%
1-33.93%
2-31.75%
0-41.50%
1-41.33%
2-40.59%
3-40.18%
0-50.41%
1-50.36%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Penarol
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
35.30%
22.21%
6.99%
1.47%
0.23%
1
14.55%
9.15%
2.88%
0.60%
0.10%
2
3.00%
1.89%
0.59%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.41%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Penarol
1-014.55%
2-03.00%
2-11.89%
3-00.41%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-035.30%
1-19.15%
2-20.59%
Athletico Paranaense
0-122.21%
0-26.99%
1-22.88%
0-31.47%
1-30.60%
2-30.12%
0-40.23%