Napoli at Cremonese

Updated

Napoli

70.7%17.8%11.4%
Napoli WinDrawWin
2.24Projected Goals 0.78
4Final Score 1

Cremonese

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Torino-170
W 2-1 at Milan+240
W 0-1 vs Spezia-355
W 2-1 at Lazio+150
T 1-1 vs Lecce-365
Cremonese
Money Line
T 1-1 at Lecce+265
L 4-0 vs Lazio+310
T 1-1 at Atalanta+800
T 0-0 vs Sassuolo+200
L 1-3 at Inter+1650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-196-207-215-210-224-210-207-184.2
Cremonese+547+573+525+585+573+585+585+584.8
Draw+348+362+350+375+361+375+375+385.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-225----275-210-210-184.2
Cremonese+600---+525+550+550+584.8
Draw+365---+325+360+360+385.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cremonese: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Cremonese: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Cremonese: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -220 to -230
Cremonese ML moved from +525 to +500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cremonese: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Cremonese: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Cremonese: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -220 to -245
Cremonese ML moved from +660 to +550

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+117o3-104o3-102o3+100-o3+100o3+100o3+107
Underu3-139u3-114u3-118u3-120-u3-120u3-114u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+105--o3-105o3+100o3+105o3+107
Underu3-130u3-125--u3-125u3-120u3-120u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.86%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 416.94%
Exactly 65.17%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.69%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.25%
Exactly 72.23%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 123.75%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 411.23%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Cremonese
Exactly 045.98%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.88%
Exactly 33.59%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.65%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 43.95%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 311.28%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 035.32%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cremonese
Exactly 069.79%
Exactly 125.10%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals47.02%
Wins by 3+ goals25.86%
Wins by 4+ goals11.87%
Wins by 5+ goals4.62%
Cremonese
Wins by 2+ goals3.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Cremonese
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.67%
Wins by 2 goals21.17%
Wins by 3 goals13.98%
Wins by 4 goals7.26%
Wins by 5 goals3.09%
Cremonese
Wins by 1 goal8.18%
Wins by 2 goals2.53%
Wins by 3 goals0.57%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.14%4.86%
1.580.45%19.55%
2.558.23%41.77%
3.535.83%64.17%
4.518.89%81.11%
5.58.64%91.36%
6.53.48%96.52%
7.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.69%34.31%
2.539.00%61.00%
3.519.01%80.99%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Cremonese Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.02%45.98%
1.518.29%81.71%
2.54.42%95.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.35%24.65%
1.540.83%59.17%
2.516.66%83.34%
3.55.38%94.62%
4.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Cremonese
Score0123
0
4.86%
3.77%
1.47%
0.38%
1
10.92%
8.48%
3.30%
0.85%
2
12.27%
9.53%
3.70%
0.96%
3
9.19%
7.14%
2.77%
0.72%
4
5.17%
4.01%
1.56%
0.40%
5
2.32%
1.80%
0.70%
0.18%
Napoli
1-010.92%
2-012.27%
2-19.53%
3-09.19%
3-17.14%
3-22.77%
4-05.17%
4-14.01%
4-21.56%
4-30.40%
5-02.32%
5-11.80%
5-20.70%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-04.86%
1-18.48%
2-23.70%
3-30.72%
Cremonese
0-13.77%
0-21.47%
1-23.30%
0-30.38%
1-30.85%
2-30.96%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Cremonese
Score0123
0
24.65%
8.87%
1.59%
0.19%
1
25.65%
9.23%
1.66%
0.20%
2
13.35%
4.80%
0.86%
0.10%
3
4.63%
1.67%
0.30%
0.04%
4
1.20%
0.43%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Napoli
1-025.65%
2-013.35%
2-14.80%
3-04.63%
3-11.67%
3-20.30%
4-01.20%
4-10.43%
5-00.25%
Draw
0-024.65%
1-19.23%
2-20.86%
Cremonese
0-18.87%
0-21.59%
1-21.66%
0-30.19%
1-30.20%
2-30.10%