Spezia at Salernitana

Updated

Spezia

38.2%27.6%34.2%
Spezia WinDrawSalernitana Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.13
2Final Score 2

Salernitana

Last 5 Games

Spezia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sampdoria+165
W 2-1 at Milan+950
W 1-0 at Genoa+260
L 2-1 vs Hellas Verona+240
W 1-0 at Napoli+1100
Salernitana
Money Line
L 1-4 at Napoli+2000
L 3-0 vs Lazio+875
W 2-1 at Hellas Verona+850
L 5-0 vs Inter+1600
L 0-4 at Fiorentina+1100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+140+175+173+180+159+173+180+189.2
Salernitana+195+170+180+180+175+180+180+183.1
Draw+245+215+220+225+221+220+225+232.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+135---+150+175+175+189.2
Salernitana+200---+150+175+175+183.1
Draw+240---+205+210+210+232.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 10.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +173 to +165
Salernitana ML moved from +187 to +180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +150 to +140
Salernitana ML moved from +165 to +145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2¼-125o2½-103o2½+105-o2½-103o2¼-125o2½+112
Underu2½-105u2¼+105u2½-117u2½-120-u2½-117u2½-117u2½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+105--o2½+100o2½+100o2½+105o2½+112
Underu2½-110u2½-125--u2½-130u2½-120u2½-120u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-110 to u2½-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.08%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.53%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.79%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 56.01%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 028.22%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 032.19%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.68%
Exactly 37.81%
Exactly 42.21%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.94%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 055.66%
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 29.55%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 059.17%
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals17.41%
Wins by 3+ goals5.97%
Wins by 4+ goals1.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%
Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals13.23%
Wins by 3+ goals4.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Spezia
Salernitana
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal21.96%
Wins by 2 goals11.43%
Wins by 3 goals4.34%
Wins by 4 goals1.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal19.67%
Wins by 2 goals9.17%
Wins by 3 goals3.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.92%9.08%
1.569.13%30.87%
2.543.00%57.00%
3.522.10%77.90%
4.59.57%90.43%
5.53.56%96.44%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.78%28.22%
1.536.08%63.92%
2.513.50%86.50%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.81%32.19%
1.531.32%68.68%
2.510.64%89.36%
3.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.06%32.94%
1.530.49%69.51%
2.510.17%89.83%
3.52.65%97.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Spezia
Salernitana
Score012345
0
9.08%
10.30%
5.83%
2.20%
0.62%
0.14%
1
11.49%
13.03%
7.38%
2.79%
0.79%
0.18%
2
7.27%
8.24%
4.67%
1.76%
0.50%
0.11%
3
3.07%
3.48%
1.97%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.97%
1.10%
0.62%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.25%
0.28%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Spezia
1-011.49%
2-07.27%
2-18.24%
3-03.07%
3-13.48%
3-21.97%
4-00.97%
4-11.10%
4-20.62%
4-30.24%
5-00.25%
5-10.28%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.08%
1-113.03%
2-24.67%
3-30.74%
Salernitana
0-110.30%
0-25.83%
1-27.38%
0-32.20%
1-32.79%
2-31.76%
0-40.62%
1-40.79%
2-40.50%
3-40.21%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Spezia
Salernitana
Score01234
0
32.94%
17.28%
4.54%
0.79%
0.10%
1
19.29%
10.13%
2.66%
0.46%
0.06%
2
5.65%
2.97%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.10%
0.58%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Spezia
1-019.29%
2-05.65%
2-12.97%
3-01.10%
3-10.58%
3-20.15%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-032.94%
1-110.13%
2-20.78%
Salernitana
0-117.28%
0-24.54%
1-22.66%
0-30.79%
1-30.46%
2-30.14%
0-40.10%