Spezia at Milan

Updated

Spezia

11.4%7.8%80.8%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.46Projected Goals 3.24
2Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Spezia
Money Line
W 1-0 at Genoa+260
L 2-1 vs Hellas Verona+240
W 1-0 at Napoli+1100
T 1-1 vs Empoli+165
L 0-2 at Roma+750
Milan
Money Line
W 3-0 at Venezia-170
W 1-3 vs Roma+120
W 4-2 at Empoli-120
L 1-0 vs Napoli+115
T 1-1 at Udinese-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+750+825+975+982+964+975+982+1022.6
Milan-295-360-340-325-388-340-325-293.5
Draw+400+500+490+500+485+490+500+505.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+900----+950+950+1022.6
Milan-330-----350-350-293.5
Draw+440----+460+460+505.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +850 to +825
Milan ML moved from -335 to -360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +975 to +950
Milan ML moved from -350 to -370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-125o3-121o3-118-o3-121o3-118o3-113
Underu3-115u3+105u3+101u3+103-u3+101u3+105u3+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120--o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-113
Underu3-115u3+100--u3-110u3+100u3+100u3+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.3%
 
No64.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.48%
Exactly 216.95%
Exactly 419.30%
Exactly 68.79%
Exactly 82.15%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.17%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 514.27%
Exactly 74.64%
Exactly 90.88%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 063.30%
Exactly 128.95%
Exactly 26.62%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 03.92%
Exactly 112.69%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 417.98%
Exactly 511.65%
Exactly 66.29%
Exactly 72.91%
Exactly 81.18%
Exactly 90.42%
Exactly 100.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.06%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 46.46%
Exactly 60.63%
 
Exactly 130.91%
Exactly 315.09%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 080.92%
Exactly 117.13%
Exactly 21.81%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 022.31%
Exactly 133.47%
Exactly 225.10%
Exactly 312.55%
Exactly 44.71%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals0.47%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals73.85%
Wins by 3+ goals53.10%
Wins by 4+ goals33.00%
Wins by 5+ goals17.80%
Wins by 6+ goals8.40%
Wins by 7+ goals3.49%
Wins by 8+ goals1.27%
Wins by 9+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Spezia
Milan
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal2.21%
Wins by 2 goals0.41%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal15.65%
Wins by 2 goals20.75%
Wins by 3 goals20.10%
Wins by 4 goals15.20%
Wins by 5 goals9.40%
Wins by 6 goals4.91%
Wins by 7 goals2.21%
Wins by 8 goals0.88%
Wins by 9 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.52%2.48%
1.588.35%11.65%
2.571.41%28.59%
3.550.52%49.48%
4.531.22%68.78%
5.516.95%83.05%
6.58.16%91.84%
7.53.51%96.49%
8.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.70%63.30%
1.57.75%92.25%
2.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.08%3.92%
1.583.39%16.61%
2.562.83%37.17%
3.540.63%59.37%
4.522.65%77.35%
5.511.00%89.00%
6.54.71%95.29%
7.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.94%18.06%
1.551.04%48.96%
2.524.59%75.41%
3.59.50%90.50%
4.53.04%96.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Spezia
Milan
Score012345
0
2.48%
8.03%
13.01%
14.05%
11.38%
7.38%
1
1.13%
3.67%
5.95%
6.43%
5.20%
3.37%
2
0.26%
0.84%
1.36%
1.47%
1.19%
0.77%
Spezia
1-01.13%
2-00.26%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-02.48%
1-13.67%
2-21.36%
3-30.22%
Milan
0-18.03%
0-213.01%
1-25.95%
0-314.05%
1-36.43%
2-31.47%
0-411.38%
1-45.20%
2-41.19%
3-40.18%
0-57.38%
1-53.37%
2-50.77%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Spezia
Milan
Score0123456
0
18.06%
27.08%
20.31%
10.16%
3.81%
1.14%
0.29%
1
3.82%
5.73%
4.30%
2.15%
0.81%
0.24%
0.06%
2
0.40%
0.61%
0.46%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Spezia
1-03.82%
2-00.40%
2-10.61%
Draw
0-018.06%
1-15.73%
2-20.46%
Milan
0-127.08%
0-220.31%
1-24.30%
0-310.16%
1-32.15%
2-30.23%
0-43.81%
1-40.81%
0-51.14%
1-50.24%
0-60.29%