Milan at Empoli

Updated

Milan

64.2%16.2%19.6%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.40Projected Goals 0.73
4Final Score 2

Empoli

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Napoli+115
T 1-1 at Udinese-120
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-475
W 3-0 at Genoa-180
L 3-1 vs Sassuolo-225
Empoli
Money Line
T 1-1 at Spezia+160
W 1-0 at Napoli+650
W 1-3 vs Udinese+140
T 2-2 at Torino+365
W 1-2 vs Fiorentina+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-140-110-115-111-120-115-110-101.8
Empoli+350+280+315+312+288+315+315+319.0
Draw+290+265+285+293+288+285+293+289.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-135----145-120-120-101.8
Empoli+350---+290+305+305+319.0
Draw+295---+260+285+285+289.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -120 to -126
Empoli ML moved from +310 to +301

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Empoli ML moved from +320 to +305

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3+105o2¾-122o3+108-o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-110
Underu3-112u3-125u2¾+102u3-123-u2¾+102u3-123u2¾+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3+105--o3+100o3+105o3+105o2¾-110
Underu3-105u3-125--u3-130u3-125u3-125u2¾+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.39%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 417.46%
Exactly 65.68%
Exactly 80.99%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.73%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.91%
Exactly 72.54%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 09.12%
Exactly 121.84%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 412.49%
Exactly 55.98%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Empoli
Exactly 048.16%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 212.85%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.53%
Exactly 224.63%
Exactly 44.30%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 311.88%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 033.00%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Empoli
Exactly 071.30%
Exactly 124.12%
Exactly 24.08%
Exactly 30.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals51.40%
Wins by 3+ goals29.66%
Wins by 4+ goals14.36%
Wins by 5+ goals5.90%
Empoli
Wins by 2+ goals2.47%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Empoli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.83%
Wins by 2 goals21.75%
Wins by 3 goals15.30%
Wins by 4 goals8.46%
Wins by 5 goals3.83%
Empoli
Wins by 1 goal6.96%
Wins by 2 goals2.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.61%4.39%
1.581.88%18.12%
2.560.43%39.57%
3.538.08%61.92%
4.520.62%79.38%
5.59.71%90.29%
6.54.02%95.98%
7.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.88%9.12%
1.569.04%30.96%
2.542.89%57.11%
3.522.01%77.99%
4.59.52%90.48%
5.53.53%96.47%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Empoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.84%48.16%
1.516.65%83.35%
2.53.80%96.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.47%23.53%
1.542.43%57.57%
2.517.80%82.20%
3.55.92%94.08%
4.51.62%98.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Empoli
Score0123
0
4.39%
3.21%
1.17%
0.29%
1
10.52%
7.69%
2.81%
0.68%
2
12.59%
9.20%
3.36%
0.82%
3
10.05%
7.34%
2.68%
0.65%
4
6.02%
4.40%
1.61%
0.39%
5
2.88%
2.11%
0.77%
0.19%
Milan
1-010.52%
2-012.59%
2-19.20%
3-010.05%
3-17.34%
3-22.68%
4-06.02%
4-14.40%
4-21.61%
4-30.39%
5-02.88%
5-12.11%
5-20.77%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-04.39%
1-17.69%
2-23.36%
3-30.65%
Empoli
0-13.21%
0-21.17%
1-22.81%
0-30.29%
1-30.68%
2-30.82%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Empoli
Score0123
0
23.53%
7.96%
1.35%
0.15%
1
26.09%
8.82%
1.49%
0.17%
2
14.46%
4.89%
0.83%
0.09%
3
5.34%
1.81%
0.31%
0.03%
4
1.48%
0.50%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.33%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-026.09%
2-014.46%
2-14.89%
3-05.34%
3-11.81%
3-20.31%
4-01.48%
4-10.50%
5-00.33%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.53%
1-18.82%
2-20.83%
Empoli
0-17.96%
0-21.35%
1-21.49%
0-30.15%
1-30.17%