Roma at Milan

Updated

Roma

25.0%19.7%55.2%
Roma WinDrawMilan Win
0.97Projected Goals 2.15
1Final Score 3

Milan

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sampdoria-205
W 4-1 at Atalanta+360
W 0-2 vs Spezia-275
L 3-0 vs Inter+300
L 0-1 at Bologna+150
Milan
Money Line
W 4-2 at Empoli-120
L 1-0 vs Napoli+115
T 1-1 at Udinese-120
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-475
W 3-0 at Genoa-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+255+205+235+222+216+235+235+232.1
Milan-115+130+120+135+118+120+135+139.9
Draw+260+245+255+245+250+255+255+254.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+285---+165+220+220+232.1
Milan-105---+120+120+120+139.9
Draw+260---+240+255+255+254.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +223 to +216
Milan ML moved from +131 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +225 to +165
Milan ML moved from +135 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2¾-105o2¾-115o3+130-o2¾-115o3+130o2¾+106
Underu3-135u2¾-115u2¾-105u3-145-u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3+120--o3+105o3+120o3+120o2¾+106
Underu2½+110u3-140--u3-135u3-140u3-135u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.0%
 
No45.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.40%
Exactly 221.46%
Exactly 417.46%
Exactly 65.68%
Exactly 80.99%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.74%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.91%
Exactly 72.53%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 037.73%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.92%
Exactly 35.82%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 011.65%
Exactly 125.05%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 319.29%
Exactly 410.37%
Exactly 54.46%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.54%
Exactly 224.63%
Exactly 44.29%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.05%
Exactly 311.87%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 063.68%
Exactly 128.74%
Exactly 26.48%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 036.96%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.31%
Exactly 36.07%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals5.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals40.71%
Wins by 3+ goals21.31%
Wins by 4+ goals9.32%
Wins by 5+ goals3.45%
Wins by 6+ goals1.09%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Roma
Wins by 1 goal10.64%
Wins by 2 goals3.98%
Wins by 3 goals1.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.48%
Wins by 2 goals19.40%
Wins by 3 goals11.99%
Wins by 4 goals5.87%
Wins by 5 goals2.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.81%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.60%4.40%
1.581.87%18.13%
2.560.41%39.59%
3.538.06%61.94%
4.520.60%79.40%
5.59.70%90.30%
6.54.02%95.98%
7.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.27%37.73%
1.525.49%74.51%
2.57.57%92.43%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.35%11.65%
1.563.30%36.70%
2.536.38%63.62%
3.517.08%82.92%
4.56.72%93.28%
5.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.46%23.54%
1.542.41%57.59%
2.517.79%82.21%
3.55.91%94.09%
4.51.62%98.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Milan
Score012345
0
4.40%
9.45%
10.16%
7.28%
3.91%
1.68%
1
4.29%
9.21%
9.90%
7.09%
3.81%
1.64%
2
2.09%
4.49%
4.82%
3.46%
1.86%
0.80%
3
0.68%
1.46%
1.57%
1.12%
0.60%
0.26%
4
0.17%
0.36%
0.38%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
Roma
1-04.29%
2-02.09%
2-14.49%
3-00.68%
3-11.46%
3-21.57%
4-00.17%
4-10.36%
4-20.38%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-04.40%
1-19.21%
2-24.82%
3-31.12%
4-40.15%
Milan
0-19.45%
0-210.16%
1-29.90%
0-37.28%
1-37.09%
2-33.46%
0-43.91%
1-43.81%
2-41.86%
3-40.60%
0-51.68%
1-51.64%
2-50.80%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Milan
Score012345
0
23.54%
23.43%
11.66%
3.87%
0.96%
0.19%
1
10.62%
10.57%
5.26%
1.75%
0.43%
0.09%
2
2.40%
2.39%
1.19%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.36%
0.36%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Roma
1-010.62%
2-02.40%
2-12.39%
3-00.36%
3-10.36%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-023.54%
1-110.57%
2-21.19%
Milan
0-123.43%
0-211.66%
1-25.26%
0-33.87%
1-31.75%
2-30.39%
0-40.96%
1-40.43%
0-50.19%