Napoli at Atalanta

Updated

Napoli

42.6%25.4%31.9%
Napoli WinDrawAtalanta Win
1.48Projected Goals 1.25
2Final Score 1

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Sassuolo-390
W 1-0 at Roma+130
W 2-3 vs Bologna-400
W 4-1 at Cremonese-210
W 1-3 vs Torino-170
Atalanta
Money Line
W 2-0 at Empoli-130
L 2-0 vs Lazio+100
W 1-2 vs Sassuolo-150
T 2-2 at Udinese+190
W 0-1 vs Fiorentina+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+107+120+120+114+121+114+121+125.6
Atalanta+252+225+220+235+238+235+238+245.0
Draw+268+259+245+272+267+272+272+274.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+110---+100+120+120+125.6
Atalanta+230---+190+215+215+245.0
Draw+265---+250+260+260+274.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Atalanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +130 to +123
Atalanta ML moved from +235 to +229

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Atalanta: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
Atalanta ML moved from +210 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+114o3+117o2¾-112o2¾-117o2½-134o2¾-117o2½-134o2½-125
Underu3-134u3-139u2¾-108u2¾-103u2½+119u2¾-103u2¾-102u2½+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3+115--o3+105o2½-135o2½-135o2½-125
Underu2½+120u3-135--u3-135u2½+115u3-135u2½+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.1%
 
No44.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.51%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 415.10%
Exactly 63.76%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.79%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 58.25%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 022.72%
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 312.32%
Exactly 44.57%
Exactly 51.35%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 028.67%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.24%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 050.35%
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 211.85%
Exactly 32.71%
Exactly 40.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 056.08%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.38%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals20.70%
Wins by 3+ goals7.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals13.53%
Wins by 3+ goals4.49%
Wins by 4+ goals1.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Atalanta
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal21.81%
Wins by 2 goals12.73%
Wins by 3 goals5.50%
Wins by 4 goals1.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal18.39%
Wins by 2 goals9.04%
Wins by 3 goals3.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.49%6.51%
1.575.70%24.30%
2.551.40%48.60%
3.529.28%70.72%
4.514.18%85.82%
5.55.93%94.07%
6.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.28%22.72%
1.543.61%56.39%
2.518.67%81.33%
3.56.34%93.66%
4.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.33%28.67%
1.535.51%64.49%
2.513.14%86.86%
3.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.76%28.24%
1.536.06%63.94%
2.513.48%86.52%
3.53.96%96.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Atalanta
Score012345
0
6.51%
8.14%
5.08%
2.12%
0.66%
0.17%
1
9.65%
12.06%
7.53%
3.14%
0.98%
0.24%
2
7.15%
8.94%
5.58%
2.32%
0.73%
0.18%
3
3.53%
4.41%
2.76%
1.15%
0.36%
0.09%
4
1.31%
1.64%
1.02%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.39%
0.48%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Napoli
1-09.65%
2-07.15%
2-18.94%
3-03.53%
3-14.41%
3-22.76%
4-01.31%
4-11.64%
4-21.02%
4-30.43%
5-00.39%
5-10.48%
5-20.30%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.51%
1-112.06%
2-25.58%
3-31.15%
4-40.13%
Atalanta
0-18.14%
0-25.08%
1-27.53%
0-32.12%
1-33.14%
2-32.32%
0-40.66%
1-40.98%
2-40.73%
3-40.36%
0-50.17%
1-50.24%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Atalanta
Score01234
0
28.24%
16.33%
4.72%
0.91%
0.13%
1
19.38%
11.21%
3.24%
0.62%
0.09%
2
6.65%
3.84%
1.11%
0.21%
0.03%
3
1.52%
0.88%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.26%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-019.38%
2-06.65%
2-13.84%
3-01.52%
3-10.88%
3-20.25%
4-00.26%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-028.24%
1-111.21%
2-21.11%
Atalanta
0-116.33%
0-24.72%
1-23.24%
0-30.91%
1-30.62%
2-30.21%
0-40.13%