Napoli at Lecce

Updated

Napoli

76.8%14.6%8.6%
Napoli WinDrawWin
2.60Projected Goals 0.75
4Final Score 0

Lecce

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Udinese-273
T 0-0 at Bologna+105
T 2-2 at Genoa-150
L 2-1 vs Lazio-155
W 0-2 vs Sassuolo-340
Lecce
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-110
W 1-2 vs Lazio+276
L 3-2 vs Bologna+165
W 1-0 at Monza+230
T 0-0 vs Spezia+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-128-127-135-133-133-133-127-122.9
Lecce+368+386+370+415+415+415+415+433.2
Draw+276+265+280+270+270+270+280+283.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-140--138--160-135-135-122.9
Lecce+375-+403-+335+385+403+433.2
Draw+290-+265-+255+270+270+283.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 40.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
Lecce ML moved from +397 to +386

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 40.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -143 to -149
Lecce ML moved from +400 to +385

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-107o2½-102o2½+102o2½+105o2½+105o2½+105o2½+105o2½+114
Underu2½-109u2½-116u2½-122u2½-125u2½-125u2½-125u2½-116u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½+115-o2½-110o2½+110o2½+115o2½+114
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-135-u2½-120u2½-130u2½-115u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.52%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 418.40%
Exactly 66.86%
Exactly 81.37%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.79%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 512.31%
Exactly 73.28%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 07.49%
Exactly 119.41%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 321.73%
Exactly 414.08%
Exactly 57.30%
Exactly 63.15%
Exactly 71.17%
Exactly 80.38%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 047.03%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.38%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.24%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 45.10%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.91%
Exactly 313.16%
Exactly 51.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 030.12%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 221.68%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 070.52%
Exactly 124.63%
Exactly 24.30%
Exactly 30.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals55.30%
Wins by 3+ goals33.61%
Wins by 4+ goals17.31%
Wins by 5+ goals7.64%
Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals2.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Lecce
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals21.69%
Wins by 3 goals16.30%
Wins by 4 goals9.67%
Wins by 5 goals4.72%
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal6.24%
Wins by 2 goals1.81%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.48%3.52%
1.584.69%15.31%
2.564.97%35.03%
3.542.98%57.02%
4.524.58%75.42%
5.512.27%87.73%
6.55.41%94.59%
7.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.51%7.49%
1.573.10%26.90%
2.547.95%52.05%
3.526.22%73.78%
4.512.14%87.86%
5.54.84%95.16%
6.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.97%47.03%
1.517.49%82.51%
2.54.11%95.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.76%21.24%
1.545.85%54.15%
2.520.36%79.64%
3.57.20%92.80%
4.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Lecce
Score0123
0
3.52%
2.66%
1.00%
0.25%
1
9.13%
6.89%
2.60%
0.65%
2
11.83%
8.92%
3.37%
0.85%
3
10.22%
7.71%
2.91%
0.73%
4
6.62%
4.99%
1.88%
0.47%
5
3.43%
2.59%
0.98%
0.25%
Napoli
1-09.13%
2-011.83%
2-18.92%
3-010.22%
3-17.71%
3-22.91%
4-06.62%
4-14.99%
4-21.88%
4-30.47%
5-03.43%
5-12.59%
5-20.98%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-03.52%
1-16.89%
2-23.37%
3-30.73%
Lecce
0-12.66%
0-21.00%
1-22.60%
0-30.25%
1-30.65%
2-30.85%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Lecce
Score0123
0
21.24%
7.42%
1.30%
0.15%
1
25.49%
8.90%
1.55%
0.18%
2
15.29%
5.34%
0.93%
0.11%
3
6.12%
2.14%
0.37%
0.04%
4
1.83%
0.64%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.44%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Napoli
1-025.49%
2-015.29%
2-15.34%
3-06.12%
3-12.14%
3-20.37%
4-01.83%
4-10.64%
4-20.11%
5-00.44%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-021.24%
1-18.90%
2-20.93%
Lecce
0-17.42%
0-21.30%
1-21.55%
0-30.15%
1-30.18%
2-30.11%