Napoli at Bologna

Updated

Napoli

63.0%20.4%16.5%
Napoli WinDrawWin
2.07Projected Goals 0.95
0Final Score 0

Bologna

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
T 2-2 at Genoa-150
L 2-1 vs Lazio-155
W 0-2 vs Sassuolo-340
W 0-2 vs Sampdoria-1100
T 2-2 at Bologna+100
Bologna
Money Line
T 0-0 at Hellas Verona+125
W 1-2 vs Cagliari-125
T 1-1 at Juventus+430
L 2-0 vs Milan+290
W 3-2 at Lecce+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-115+104+110+112+112+112+112+119.3
Bologna+316+268+240+247+247+247+268+259.0
Draw+277+260+255+264+264+264+264+276.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-110-+105--125+100+105+119.3
Bologna+295-+250-+260+265+265+259.0
Draw+265-+259-+240+260+260+276.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 40.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Bologna: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +100 to -105
Bologna ML moved from +270 to +250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 40.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -115 to -125
Bologna ML moved from +267 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-125o2½-120o2½-125o2½-125o2½-125o2½-120o2½-114
Underu2½+110u2½+107u2½+100u2½+105u2½+105u2½+105u2½+107u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-120o2½-125-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-120o2½-114
Underu2½+110u2½+100u2½+105-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+105u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 416.90%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.76%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.20%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 012.68%
Exactly 126.19%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.61%
Exactly 49.61%
Exactly 53.97%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Bologna
Exactly 038.56%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.51%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.73%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 038.44%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bologna
Exactly 064.32%
Exactly 128.38%
Exactly 26.26%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals39.13%
Wins by 3+ goals19.94%
Wins by 4+ goals8.46%
Wins by 5+ goals3.03%
Bologna
Wins by 2+ goals5.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Bologna
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.88%
Wins by 2 goals19.19%
Wins by 3 goals11.48%
Wins by 4 goals5.43%
Wins by 5 goals2.11%
Bologna
Wins by 1 goal11.02%
Wins by 2 goals4.08%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.35%19.65%
2.558.08%41.92%
3.535.68%64.32%
4.518.78%81.22%
5.58.57%91.43%
6.53.44%96.56%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.32%12.68%
1.561.13%38.87%
2.534.09%65.91%
3.515.48%84.52%
4.55.87%94.13%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Bologna Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.44%38.56%
1.524.70%75.30%
2.57.19%92.81%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.27%24.73%
1.540.72%59.28%
2.516.58%83.42%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Bologna
Score01234
0
4.89%
4.66%
2.22%
0.71%
0.17%
1
10.10%
9.62%
4.59%
1.46%
0.35%
2
10.43%
9.94%
4.73%
1.50%
0.36%
3
7.18%
6.84%
3.26%
1.04%
0.25%
4
3.70%
3.53%
1.68%
0.53%
0.13%
5
1.53%
1.46%
0.69%
0.22%
0.05%
Napoli
1-010.10%
2-010.43%
2-19.94%
3-07.18%
3-16.84%
3-23.26%
4-03.70%
4-13.53%
4-21.68%
4-30.53%
5-01.53%
5-11.46%
5-20.69%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-19.62%
2-24.73%
3-31.04%
4-40.13%
Bologna
0-14.66%
0-22.22%
1-24.59%
0-30.71%
1-31.46%
2-31.50%
0-40.17%
1-40.35%
2-40.36%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Bologna
Score0123
0
24.73%
10.91%
2.41%
0.35%
1
23.64%
10.43%
2.30%
0.34%
2
11.30%
4.99%
1.10%
0.16%
3
3.60%
1.59%
0.35%
0.05%
4
0.86%
0.38%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Napoli
1-023.64%
2-011.30%
2-14.99%
3-03.60%
3-11.59%
3-20.35%
4-00.86%
4-10.38%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-024.73%
1-110.43%
2-21.10%
Bologna
0-110.91%
0-22.41%
1-22.30%
0-30.35%
1-30.34%
2-30.16%