Milan at Bologna

Updated

Milan

61.8%21.0%17.2%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.00Projected Goals 0.96
2Final Score 0

Bologna

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Hellas Verona-150
W 1-0 at Juventus+200
W 1-5 vs Sampdoria-700
L 0-2 at Spezia-120
W 0-2 vs Lazio-110
Bologna
Money Line
W 3-2 at Lecce+165
T 2-2 vs Napoli+275
W 5-1 at Cremonese+100
T 0-0 vs Roma+165
T 1-1 at Sassuolo+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+100+105+105+105-107+105+105+112.2
Bologna+285+280+265+295+314+295+314+308.9
Draw+245+246+250+240+262+240+262+251.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-115--104--135+100+100+112.2
Bologna+250-+280-+285+290+290+308.9
Draw+225-+251-+240+240+251+251.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Bologna: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +101 to -102
Bologna ML moved from +286 to +280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -120 to -130
Bologna ML moved from +310 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-126o2½-101o2½-105o2½+102o2½-103o2½+102o2½+102o2½+111
Underu2¼+106u2½-117u2½-115u2½-122u2½-111u2½-122u2½-111u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½-113-o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105o2½+111
Underu2½-125u2½-115u2½-107-u2½-120u2½-115u2½-107u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.17%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 416.59%
Exactly 64.85%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.32%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.83%
Exactly 72.05%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 013.45%
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.10%
Exactly 49.08%
Exactly 53.64%
Exactly 61.22%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Bologna
Exactly 038.45%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.59%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.37%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 310.91%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 039.50%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.04%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bologna
Exactly 064.24%
Exactly 128.43%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals37.59%
Wins by 3+ goals18.72%
Wins by 4+ goals7.71%
Wins by 5+ goals2.64%
Bologna
Wins by 2+ goals5.74%
Wins by 3+ goals1.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Bologna
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.06%
Wins by 2 goals18.88%
Wins by 3 goals11.01%
Wins by 4 goals5.06%
Wins by 5 goals1.91%
Bologna
Wins by 1 goal11.46%
Wins by 2 goals4.28%
Wins by 3 goals1.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.83%5.17%
1.579.51%20.49%
2.556.83%43.17%
3.534.43%65.57%
4.517.84%82.16%
5.58.01%91.99%
6.53.16%96.84%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.55%13.45%
1.559.57%40.43%
2.532.51%67.49%
3.514.40%85.60%
4.55.32%94.68%
5.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Bologna Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.55%38.45%
1.524.80%75.20%
2.57.23%92.77%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.63%25.37%
1.539.83%60.17%
2.515.96%84.04%
3.55.06%94.94%
4.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Bologna
Score01234
0
5.17%
4.94%
2.36%
0.75%
0.18%
1
10.37%
9.92%
4.74%
1.51%
0.36%
2
10.41%
9.95%
4.75%
1.51%
0.36%
3
6.96%
6.65%
3.18%
1.01%
0.24%
4
3.49%
3.34%
1.59%
0.51%
0.12%
5
1.40%
1.34%
0.64%
0.20%
0.05%
Milan
1-010.37%
2-010.41%
2-19.95%
3-06.96%
3-16.65%
3-23.18%
4-03.49%
4-13.34%
4-21.59%
4-30.51%
5-01.40%
5-11.34%
5-20.64%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.17%
1-19.92%
2-24.75%
3-31.01%
4-40.12%
Bologna
0-14.94%
0-22.36%
1-24.74%
0-30.75%
1-31.51%
2-31.51%
0-40.18%
1-40.36%
2-40.36%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Bologna
Score0123
0
25.37%
11.23%
2.48%
0.37%
1
23.57%
10.43%
2.31%
0.34%
2
10.95%
4.84%
1.07%
0.16%
3
3.39%
1.50%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.79%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-023.57%
2-010.95%
2-14.84%
3-03.39%
3-11.50%
3-20.33%
4-00.79%
4-10.35%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-025.37%
1-110.43%
2-21.07%
Bologna
0-111.23%
0-22.48%
1-22.31%
0-30.37%
1-30.34%
2-30.16%