Milan at Spezia

Updated

Milan

66.8%19.1%14.0%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.17Projected Goals 0.88
0Final Score 2

Spezia

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Lazio-110
T 1-1 vs Cremonese-300
T 1-1 at Roma+185
W 0-2 vs Lecce-195
T 1-1 at Bologna+175
Spezia
Money Line
L 0-2 at Cremonese+195
L 2-3 at Atalanta+730
L 2-0 vs Monza+180
T 1-1 at Sampdoria+170
L 3-0 vs Lazio+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-108-112-115-112-112-112-112-104.5
Spezia+313+348+340+355+374+355+374+370.4
Draw+258+248+250+250+256+250+256+261.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-110----135-120-120-104.5
Spezia+310---+300+345+345+370.4
Draw+255---+230+255+255+261.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Spezia: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -105 to -115
Spezia ML moved from +375 to +355

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -110 to -120
Spezia ML moved from +330 to +315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o2½+111o2¼-118o2¼-118o2½+113o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-107
Underu2½-105u2½-131u2¼-102u2¼-102u2½-128u2¼-102u2½-128u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+105--o2½+100o2½+105o2½+105o2¼-107
Underu2½-105u2½-125--u2½-130u2½-125u2½-125u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.75%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 417.06%
Exactly 65.28%
Exactly 80.87%
 
Exactly 114.48%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.39%
Exactly 72.30%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 011.44%
Exactly 124.80%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 319.43%
Exactly 410.53%
Exactly 54.57%
Exactly 61.65%
Exactly 70.51%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 041.53%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.03%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.40%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 311.41%
Exactly 51.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 036.65%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.46%
Exactly 36.18%
Exactly 41.55%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 066.58%
Exactly 127.08%
Exactly 25.51%
Exactly 30.75%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals43.04%
Wins by 3+ goals22.86%
Wins by 4+ goals10.13%
Wins by 5+ goals3.80%
Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals4.34%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Spezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals20.18%
Wins by 3 goals12.73%
Wins by 4 goals6.33%
Wins by 5 goals2.59%
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal9.63%
Wins by 2 goals3.31%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.25%4.75%
1.580.77%19.23%
2.558.72%41.28%
3.536.32%63.68%
4.519.26%80.74%
5.58.87%91.13%
6.53.59%96.41%
7.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.56%11.44%
1.563.76%36.24%
2.536.87%63.13%
3.517.44%82.56%
4.56.91%93.09%
5.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.47%41.53%
1.521.97%78.03%
2.55.94%94.06%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.60%24.40%
1.541.18%58.82%
2.516.91%83.09%
3.55.49%94.51%
4.51.47%98.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Spezia
Score01234
0
4.75%
4.18%
1.83%
0.54%
0.12%
1
10.30%
9.05%
3.98%
1.16%
0.26%
2
11.17%
9.81%
4.31%
1.26%
0.28%
3
8.07%
7.09%
3.12%
0.91%
0.20%
4
4.37%
3.84%
1.69%
0.49%
0.11%
5
1.90%
1.67%
0.73%
0.21%
0.05%
Milan
1-010.30%
2-011.17%
2-19.81%
3-08.07%
3-17.09%
3-23.12%
4-04.37%
4-13.84%
4-21.69%
4-30.49%
5-01.90%
5-11.67%
5-20.73%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-04.75%
1-19.05%
2-24.31%
3-30.91%
4-40.11%
Spezia
0-14.18%
0-21.83%
1-23.98%
0-30.54%
1-31.16%
2-31.26%
0-40.12%
1-40.26%
2-40.28%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Spezia
Score0123
0
24.40%
9.93%
2.02%
0.27%
1
24.49%
9.96%
2.03%
0.27%
2
12.29%
5.00%
1.02%
0.14%
3
4.11%
1.67%
0.34%
0.05%
4
1.03%
0.42%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-024.49%
2-012.29%
2-15.00%
3-04.11%
3-11.67%
3-20.34%
4-01.03%
4-10.42%
5-00.21%
Draw
0-024.40%
1-19.96%
2-21.02%
Spezia
0-19.93%
0-22.02%
1-22.03%
0-30.27%
1-30.27%
2-30.14%