Monza at Milan

Updated

Monza

11.1%17.7%71.1%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.25
0Final Score 3

Milan

Last 5 Games

Monza
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Genoa+120
L 2-1 vs Juventus+330
T 1-1 at Cagliari+156
T 1-1 vs Torino+177
W 3-1 at Hellas Verona+145
Milan
Money Line
L 2-3 at Atalanta+187
W 0-1 vs Fiorentina+110
L 1-0 vs Udinese-235
T 2-2 at Napoli+230
L 1-0 vs Juventus+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+505-+460+515+499+515+515+536.7
Milan-179--175-180-178-180-175-163.8
Draw+338-+340+335+339+335+340+350.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+485-+475-+400+440+475+536.7
Milan-180--180--200-165-165-163.8
Draw+325-+315-+285+310+315+350.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +493 to +486
Milan ML moved from -165 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +430 to +400
Milan ML moved from -165 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102-o2¾-108o2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-102
Underu2¾-118-u2¾-112u2¾-108u2¾-106u2¾-108u2¾-106u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-125o2½-135-o2½-130o2½-125o2½-125o2¾-102
Underu2½+115u2½+105u2½+115-u2½+100u2½+105u2½+115u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-118 to o2¾-106
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.92%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 416.87%
Exactly 65.10%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.81%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.16%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 046.68%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 213.55%
Exactly 33.44%
Exactly 40.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 010.54%
Exactly 123.71%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 320.01%
Exactly 411.26%
Exactly 55.07%
Exactly 61.90%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.79%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.58%
Exactly 311.21%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 070.27%
Exactly 124.79%
Exactly 24.37%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 035.28%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Monza
Wins by 2+ goals3.01%
Wins by 3+ goals0.59%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals47.40%
Wins by 3+ goals26.12%
Wins by 4+ goals12.02%
Wins by 5+ goals4.68%
Wins by 6+ goals1.55%
Wins by 7+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Monza
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Monza
Wins by 1 goal8.01%
Wins by 2 goals2.42%
Wins by 3 goals0.52%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.69%
Wins by 2 goals21.28%
Wins by 3 goals14.10%
Wins by 4 goals7.34%
Wins by 5 goals3.13%
Wins by 6 goals1.13%
Wins by 7 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.08%4.92%
1.580.27%19.73%
2.557.95%42.05%
3.535.55%64.45%
4.518.68%81.32%
5.58.52%91.48%
6.53.41%96.59%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.32%46.68%
1.517.76%82.24%
2.54.21%95.79%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.46%10.54%
1.565.75%34.25%
2.539.08%60.92%
3.519.06%80.94%
4.57.81%92.19%
5.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.21%24.79%
1.540.63%59.37%
2.516.52%83.48%
3.55.31%94.69%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Monza
Milan
Score012345
0
4.92%
11.07%
12.45%
9.34%
5.26%
2.37%
1
3.75%
8.43%
9.49%
7.12%
4.00%
1.80%
2
1.43%
3.21%
3.61%
2.71%
1.53%
0.69%
3
0.36%
0.82%
0.92%
0.69%
0.39%
0.17%
Monza
1-03.75%
2-01.43%
2-13.21%
3-00.36%
3-10.82%
3-20.92%
Draw
0-04.92%
1-18.43%
2-23.61%
3-30.69%
Milan
0-111.07%
0-212.45%
1-29.49%
0-39.34%
1-37.12%
2-32.71%
0-45.26%
1-44.00%
2-41.53%
3-40.39%
0-52.37%
1-51.80%
2-50.69%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Monza
Milan
Score012345
0
24.79%
25.83%
13.46%
4.67%
1.22%
0.25%
1
8.75%
9.11%
4.75%
1.65%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.54%
1.61%
0.84%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Monza
1-08.75%
2-01.54%
2-11.61%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-024.79%
1-19.11%
2-20.84%
Milan
0-125.83%
0-213.46%
1-24.75%
0-34.67%
1-31.65%
2-30.29%
0-41.22%
1-40.43%
0-50.25%