Fiorentina at Milan

Updated

Fiorentina

13.7%19.5%66.8%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.11
0Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Bologna+110
L 1-0 vs Juventus+185
L 0-1 at Lazio+225
L 2-0 vs Empoli-246
W 3-1 at Napoli+460
Milan
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Udinese-235
T 2-2 at Napoli+230
L 1-0 vs Juventus+115
W 1-0 at Genoa-107
W 0-2 vs Lazio-136

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+292+271+250+280+280+280+280+293.6
Milan-101+112+115+109+109+109+115+116.5
Draw+255+234+240+240+240+240+240+252.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+285-+262-+225+255+255+293.6
Milan+100-+105-+100+110+110+116.5
Draw+245-+240-+215+240+240+252.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +276 to +268
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +240 to +225
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+112o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2½-116u2½-132u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2½-132u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100o2½+105-o2½+100o2½+105o2½+105o2¼-104
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2½-125-u2½-130u2½-125u2½-120u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.23%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 416.52%
Exactly 64.80%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.43%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.75%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 043.26%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.19%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 012.08%
Exactly 125.54%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.01%
Exactly 410.04%
Exactly 54.25%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.50%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 43.71%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.85%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 067.84%
Exactly 126.32%
Exactly 25.11%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 037.59%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.99%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals4.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals42.56%
Wins by 3+ goals22.28%
Wins by 4+ goals9.70%
Wins by 5+ goals3.57%
Wins by 6+ goals1.12%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal9.59%
Wins by 2 goals3.19%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals20.28%
Wins by 3 goals12.58%
Wins by 4 goals6.13%
Wins by 5 goals2.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.77%5.23%
1.579.35%20.65%
2.556.58%43.42%
3.534.19%65.81%
4.517.66%82.34%
5.57.91%92.09%
6.53.11%96.89%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.74%43.26%
1.520.49%79.51%
2.55.30%94.70%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.92%12.08%
1.562.38%37.62%
2.535.40%64.60%
3.516.39%83.61%
4.56.35%93.65%
5.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.50%25.50%
1.539.66%60.34%
2.515.85%84.15%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Milan
Score012345
0
5.23%
11.05%
11.67%
8.22%
4.34%
1.84%
1
4.38%
9.26%
9.78%
6.89%
3.64%
1.54%
2
1.84%
3.88%
4.10%
2.89%
1.53%
0.64%
3
0.51%
1.08%
1.14%
0.81%
0.43%
0.18%
4
0.11%
0.23%
0.24%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
Fiorentina
1-04.38%
2-01.84%
2-13.88%
3-00.51%
3-11.08%
3-21.14%
4-00.11%
4-10.23%
4-20.24%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.23%
1-19.26%
2-24.10%
3-30.81%
Milan
0-111.05%
0-211.67%
1-29.78%
0-38.22%
1-36.89%
2-32.89%
0-44.34%
1-43.64%
2-41.53%
3-40.43%
0-51.84%
1-51.54%
2-50.64%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Milan
Score012345
0
25.50%
24.95%
12.21%
3.98%
0.97%
0.19%
1
9.89%
9.68%
4.74%
1.54%
0.38%
0.07%
2
1.92%
1.88%
0.92%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-09.89%
2-01.92%
2-11.88%
3-00.25%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.50%
1-19.68%
2-20.92%
Milan
0-124.95%
0-212.21%
1-24.74%
0-33.98%
1-31.54%
2-30.30%
0-40.97%
1-40.38%
0-50.19%