Napoli at Atalanta

Updated

Napoli

36.1%26.4%37.4%
Napoli WinDrawAtalanta Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.31
2Final Score 1

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Empoli-400
W 2-0 at Salernitana-265
T 2-2 vs Milan+125
W 3-1 at Hellas Verona-160
L 3-1 vs Fiorentina-175
Atalanta
Money Line
T 1-1 at Udinese+108
L 2-1 vs Inter+255
W 3-0 at Empoli-162
W 0-2 vs Genoa-195
L 2-3 at Lazio+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+161+181+180+194+188+194+194+204.3
Atalanta+169+155+145+148+153+148+155+156.7
Draw+252+243+250+243+241+243+250+255.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+160-+160-+140+170+170+204.3
Atalanta+165-+170-+145+155+170+156.7
Draw+245-+236-+230+245+245+255.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 40.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +172 to +162
Atalanta ML moved from +172 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Atalanta: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Atalanta: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +167 to +160
Atalanta ML moved from +165 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-126o2½-132o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2½-132o2¾+107
Underu2½+108u2½+112u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-130o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-135o2½-120o2¾+107
Underu2½+110u2½+110u2½+100-u2½-105u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.50%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 414.07%
Exactly 63.15%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.43%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 57.29%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 027.75%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 222.80%
Exactly 39.74%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 027.02%
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 310.09%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.14%
Exactly 221.68%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 055.24%
Exactly 132.78%
Exactly 29.73%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 054.56%
Exactly 133.06%
Exactly 210.01%
Exactly 32.02%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals15.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.43%
Wins by 4+ goals1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals16.67%
Wins by 3+ goals5.82%
Wins by 4+ goals1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Atalanta
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal20.27%
Wins by 2 goals10.41%
Wins by 3 goals3.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal20.69%
Wins by 2 goals10.85%
Wins by 3 goals4.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.50%7.50%
1.573.08%26.92%
2.547.92%52.08%
3.526.19%73.81%
4.512.12%87.88%
5.54.83%95.17%
6.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.25%27.75%
1.536.67%63.33%
2.513.87%86.13%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.98%27.02%
1.537.62%62.38%
2.514.49%85.51%
3.54.40%95.60%
4.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.86%30.14%
1.533.71%66.29%
2.512.04%87.96%
3.53.37%96.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Atalanta
Score012345
0
7.50%
9.81%
6.42%
2.80%
0.92%
0.24%
1
9.61%
12.58%
8.23%
3.59%
1.17%
0.31%
2
6.16%
8.06%
5.27%
2.30%
0.75%
0.20%
3
2.63%
3.44%
2.25%
0.98%
0.32%
0.08%
4
0.84%
1.10%
0.72%
0.32%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.22%
0.28%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Napoli
1-09.61%
2-06.16%
2-18.06%
3-02.63%
3-13.44%
3-22.25%
4-00.84%
4-11.10%
4-20.72%
4-30.32%
5-00.22%
5-10.28%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-07.50%
1-112.58%
2-25.27%
3-30.98%
4-40.10%
Atalanta
0-19.81%
0-26.42%
1-28.23%
0-32.80%
1-33.59%
2-32.30%
0-40.92%
1-41.17%
2-40.75%
3-40.32%
0-50.24%
1-50.31%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Atalanta
Score01234
0
30.14%
18.26%
5.53%
1.12%
0.17%
1
17.89%
10.84%
3.28%
0.66%
0.10%
2
5.31%
3.22%
0.97%
0.20%
0.03%
3
1.05%
0.64%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-017.89%
2-05.31%
2-13.22%
3-01.05%
3-10.64%
3-20.19%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-030.14%
1-110.84%
2-20.97%
Atalanta
0-118.26%
0-25.53%
1-23.28%
0-31.12%
1-30.66%
2-30.20%
0-40.17%
1-40.10%