Empoli at Milan

Updated

Empoli

5.8%11.7%82.4%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.87
0Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Empoli
Money Line
T 0-0 at Genoa+180
L 3-2 vs Juventus+390
L 0-2 at Sampdoria+215
T 1-1 vs Cagliari+105
T 0-0 at Bologna+280
Milan
Money Line
W 1-0 at Napoli+260
T 1-1 vs Udinese-220
T 2-2 at Salernitana-290
W 0-1 vs Sampdoria-260
W 2-1 at Inter+335

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Empoli+700+675+850+813+704+850+850+833.0
Milan-275-290-300-281-310-300-281-255.3
Draw+400+450+465+465+439+465+465+473.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Empoli+720---+600+850+850+833.0
Milan-255----310-325-310-255.3
Draw+375---+340+450+450+473.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Empoli: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Empoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Empoli ML moved from +700 to +675
Milan ML moved from -275 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Empoli: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Empoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Empoli ML moved from +800 to +730
Milan ML moved from -275 to -325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3¼+100o3¼-105o3-132-o3¼-105o3-132o3-124
Underu2¾+105u3¼-120u3¼-115u3+102-u3¼-115u3¼-115u3+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-140--o3-120o3-140o3-120o3-124
Underu3-125u3+120--u3-110u3+120u3+120u3+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.95%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 418.94%
Exactly 67.83%
Exactly 81.74%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.40%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 513.34%
Exactly 73.94%
Exactly 90.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Empoli
Exactly 051.85%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 211.19%
Exactly 32.45%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 05.69%
Exactly 116.32%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 416.00%
Exactly 59.17%
Exactly 64.38%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 80.64%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.57%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 45.77%
Exactly 60.51%
 
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 314.15%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Empoli
Exactly 073.78%
Exactly 122.44%
Exactly 23.41%
Exactly 30.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 026.53%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 310.33%
Exactly 43.43%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Empoli
Wins by 2+ goals1.36%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals62.99%
Wins by 3+ goals41.23%
Wins by 4+ goals23.06%
Wins by 5+ goals11.10%
Wins by 6+ goals4.64%
Wins by 7+ goals1.68%
Wins by 8+ goals0.51%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Empoli
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Empoli
Wins by 1 goal4.43%
Wins by 2 goals1.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal19.35%
Wins by 2 goals21.76%
Wins by 3 goals18.17%
Wins by 4 goals11.96%
Wins by 5 goals6.46%
Wins by 6 goals2.96%
Wins by 7 goals1.17%
Wins by 8 goals0.40%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.05%2.95%
1.586.65%13.35%
2.568.33%31.67%
3.546.82%53.18%
4.527.88%72.12%
5.514.54%85.46%
6.56.70%93.30%
7.52.76%97.24%
8.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Empoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.15%51.85%
1.514.10%85.90%
2.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.31%5.69%
1.577.99%22.01%
2.554.60%45.40%
3.532.27%67.73%
4.516.27%83.73%
5.57.10%92.90%
6.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.43%19.57%
1.548.50%51.50%
2.522.47%77.53%
3.58.31%91.69%
4.52.54%97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Empoli
Milan
Score012345
0
2.95%
8.46%
12.12%
11.58%
8.30%
4.75%
1
1.94%
5.56%
7.96%
7.61%
5.45%
3.12%
2
0.64%
1.83%
2.62%
2.50%
1.79%
1.03%
3
0.14%
0.40%
0.57%
0.55%
0.39%
0.22%
Empoli
1-01.94%
2-00.64%
2-11.83%
3-00.14%
3-10.40%
3-20.57%
Draw
0-02.95%
1-15.56%
2-22.62%
3-30.55%
Milan
0-18.46%
0-212.12%
1-27.96%
0-311.58%
1-37.61%
2-32.50%
0-48.30%
1-45.45%
2-41.79%
3-40.39%
0-54.75%
1-53.12%
2-51.03%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Empoli
Milan
Score0123456
0
19.57%
25.97%
17.23%
7.62%
2.53%
0.67%
0.15%
1
5.95%
7.90%
5.24%
2.32%
0.77%
0.20%
0.05%
2
0.91%
1.20%
0.80%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Empoli
1-05.95%
2-00.91%
2-11.20%
Draw
0-019.57%
1-17.90%
2-20.80%
Milan
0-125.97%
0-217.23%
1-25.24%
0-37.62%
1-32.32%
2-30.35%
0-42.53%
1-40.77%
2-40.12%
0-50.67%
1-50.20%
0-60.15%