Sampdoria at Milan

Updated

Sampdoria

14.7%10.9%74.4%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.88
0Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Sampdoria
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Sassuolo+175
L 0-1 at Spezia+180
L 2-1 vs Torino+240
L 0-1 at Napoli+760
L 2-1 vs Cagliari-125
Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Inter+335
T 0-0 vs Juventus+175
L 2-1 vs Spezia-350
W 3-0 at Venezia-170
W 1-3 vs Roma+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+600+600+775+806+742+775+806+771.4
Milan-240-245-260-251-282-260-245-226.7
Draw+370+370+405+404+393+405+405+422.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+660---+600+700+700+771.4
Milan-245----290-260-260-226.7
Draw+380---+310+390+390+422.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +773 to +761
Milan ML moved from -269 to -282

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sampdoria ML
Milan ML moved from -245 to -255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o2¾-115o2¾-119o3+116-o2¾-119o2¾-115o3+114
Underu3-125u2¾-105u2¾-101u3-131-u2¾-101u3-131u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100--o3-105o3+105o3+105o3+114
Underu3-120u3-120--u3-125u3-125u3-120u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.19%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 418.72%
Exactly 67.41%
Exactly 81.57%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.99%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 512.90%
Exactly 73.65%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 056.71%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.12%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 05.63%
Exactly 116.19%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 416.08%
Exactly 59.25%
Exactly 64.44%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 80.66%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.29%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 45.47%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 313.72%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 076.90%
Exactly 120.20%
Exactly 22.65%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 026.38%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 310.40%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals1.00%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals65.18%
Wins by 3+ goals43.15%
Wins by 4+ goals24.38%
Wins by 5+ goals11.85%
Wins by 6+ goals4.99%
Wins by 7+ goals1.82%
Wins by 8+ goals0.56%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Sampdoria
Milan
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal3.74%
Wins by 2 goals0.85%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal19.01%
Wins by 2 goals22.04%
Wins by 3 goals18.77%
Wins by 4 goals12.53%
Wins by 5 goals6.85%
Wins by 6 goals3.17%
Wins by 7 goals1.27%
Wins by 8 goals0.44%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.81%3.19%
1.585.82%14.18%
2.566.89%33.11%
3.545.15%54.85%
4.526.42%73.58%
5.513.52%86.48%
6.56.11%93.89%
7.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.29%56.71%
1.511.12%88.88%
2.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.37%5.63%
1.578.18%21.82%
2.554.89%45.11%
3.532.54%67.46%
4.516.46%83.54%
5.57.21%92.79%
6.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.71%20.29%
1.547.35%52.65%
2.521.54%78.46%
3.57.81%92.19%
4.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sampdoria
Milan
Score012345
0
3.19%
9.18%
13.21%
12.67%
9.12%
5.25%
1
1.81%
5.21%
7.49%
7.19%
5.17%
2.98%
2
0.51%
1.48%
2.13%
2.04%
1.47%
0.84%
Sampdoria
1-01.81%
2-00.51%
2-11.48%
Draw
0-03.19%
1-15.21%
2-22.13%
3-30.39%
Milan
0-19.18%
0-213.21%
1-27.49%
0-312.67%
1-37.19%
2-32.04%
0-49.12%
1-45.17%
2-41.47%
3-40.28%
0-55.25%
1-52.98%
2-50.84%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Sampdoria
Milan
Score0123456
0
20.29%
27.03%
18.01%
8.00%
2.66%
0.71%
0.16%
1
5.33%
7.10%
4.73%
2.10%
0.70%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.70%
0.93%
0.62%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Sampdoria
1-05.33%
2-00.70%
2-10.93%
Draw
0-020.29%
1-17.10%
2-20.62%
Milan
0-127.03%
0-218.01%
1-24.73%
0-38.00%
1-32.10%
2-30.28%
0-42.66%
1-40.70%
0-50.71%
1-50.19%
0-60.16%